Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stefanos Tsitsipas v Felix Auger-Aliassime

2026-08-16 15:00 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local)

Prediction 44.68%2.24fair odd
EV +0.524%
Edge +0.233%
Kelly +0.419%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%44.46%44.63%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.122.2550.00%47.31%47.17%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visit)

Prediction 55.32%1.81fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -3.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%55.54%55.37%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.711.721.7661.73%58.45%58.14%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local): 44.68%; Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visit): 55.32%. For Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.25, producing a positive expected value of +0.524%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +0.524%E +0.233%K +0.419%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -10.38%E -6.41%K -16.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 10:26
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.71%E -0.777%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 09:24
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.16%E -0.985%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.63%E -1.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-15 11:19
Coolbet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.60%E -1.19%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.19%E -1.82%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 09:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.60%E -1.19%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.84%E -2.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.60%E -1.19%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.84%E -2.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 11:20
DraftKings🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.50%E -1.62%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 09:00
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -3.94%E -1.83%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -2.63%E -1.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 10:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.94%E -1.83%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.74%E -2.15%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 13:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.94%E -1.83%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.84%E -2.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 13:24
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.94%E -1.83%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -3.94%E -1.83%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -10.38%E -6.41%K -16.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 09:00
GTbets🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.84%E -2.27%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.19%E -1.82%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 08:04
NordicBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.84%E -2.27%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.84%E -2.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 08:55
Betsson🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.84%E -2.27%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.84%E -2.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 08:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -4.84%E -2.27%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:14
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.28%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.84%E -2.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:44
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.28%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.84%E -2.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.28%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.84%E -2.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:45
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.28%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.84%E -2.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.28%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.84%E -2.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:44
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.28%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.84%E -2.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:45
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.28%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.84%E -2.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.28%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.84%E -2.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.28%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.84%E -2.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.28%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.84%E -2.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:44
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.28%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.84%E -2.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:44
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.28%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.84%E -2.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.28%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.84%E -2.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.28%E -2.49%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.84%E -2.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:44
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:14
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:14
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:19
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 08:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 08:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 13:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 06:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 09:20
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 09:24
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.50%E -3.85%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 08:54
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.50%E -3.85%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 09:24
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 11:19
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.18%E -2.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 11:18
Unibet (UK)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.85%EV -6.62%E -3.17%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.15%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.52%E -3.63%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 09:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -7.96%E -3.87%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 09:23
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.41%E -4.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.19%E -1.82%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 12:49
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.41%E -4.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.19%E -1.82%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.41%E -4.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.84%E -2.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 09:20
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.41%E -4.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.84%E -2.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 09:19
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.41%E -4.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 11:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.41%E -4.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 12:29
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.41%E -4.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 08:55
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.65%E -5.32%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 08:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.7%2026-08-15 13:00
ProphetX2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.7%2026-08-15 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%3.1%2026-08-15 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%3.1%2026-08-15 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%3.5%2026-08-15 13:00
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%5.1%2026-08-15 12:00

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.