默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Stefanos Tsitsipas v Felix Auger-Aliassime

2026-08-16 15:00 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

45%

55%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Stefanos Tsitsipas (主队)

预测 44.65%2.24公平赔率

EV +0.470%

优势 +0.209%

Kelly +0.376%

增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布

41.86%44.44%44.62%45.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.002.122.122.2550.00%47.25%47.17%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

Felix Auger-Aliassime (客队)

预测 55.35%1.81公平赔率

EV -2.59%

优势 -1.47%

Kelly -3.41%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.76

博彩公司预测分布

54.38%55.56%55.38%58.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.621.711.721.7661.73%58.53%58.14%56.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Stefanos Tsitsipas (主队)：44.65%；Felix Auger-Aliassime (客队)：55.35%。对于“Stefanos Tsitsipas (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.24。有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为2.25，由此产生+0.470%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Caesars🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +0.470%E +0.209%K +0.376%G +0.002%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -10.34%E -6.38%K -16.67%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-15 10:26
BetAnything🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.76%E -0.801%K -1.47%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.36%E -3.13%K -7.55%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-15 09:24
1xBet🎯	2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.86%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.59%E -1.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-08-15 11:19
Coolbet🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.66%E -1.22%K -2.25%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-15 09:19
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.66%E -1.22%K -2.25%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.80%E -2.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-15 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.66%E -1.22%K -2.25%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.80%E -2.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-15 11:20
Pinnacle🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -3.10%E -1.43%K -2.65%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-15 14:20
DraftKings🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.55%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.44%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 09:00
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.00%E -1.86%K -3.47%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -5.00%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-15 13:24
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.00%E -1.86%K -3.47%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.80%E -2.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-15 13:24
Bovada🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.00%E -1.86%K -3.47%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.36%E -3.13%K -7.55%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-15 09:19
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -4.00%E -1.86%K -3.47%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -10.34%E -6.38%K -16.67%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-15 09:00
GTbets🎯	2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.89%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.19%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-15 08:04
NordicBet🎯	2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.89%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.80%E -2.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 08:55
Betsson🎯	2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.89%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.80%E -2.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 08:59
Marathon Bet🎯	2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -4.89%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -5.36%E -3.13%K -7.55%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 11:14
Unibet🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.33%E -2.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.80%E -2.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-15 09:44
TABtouch🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.33%E -2.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.80%E -2.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-15 09:45
Virgin Bet🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.33%E -2.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.80%E -2.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-15 09:45
BetRivers🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.33%E -2.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.80%E -2.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-15 09:44
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.33%E -2.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.80%E -2.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-15 09:44
Casumo🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.33%E -2.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.80%E -2.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-15 09:45
Grosvenor🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.33%E -2.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.80%E -2.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-15 09:45
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.33%E -2.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.80%E -2.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-15 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.33%E -2.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.80%E -2.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-15 09:44
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.33%E -2.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.80%E -2.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-15 09:44
betPARX🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.33%E -2.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.80%E -2.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-15 09:44
Bally Bet🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.33%E -2.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.80%E -2.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-15 09:45
ATG (SE)🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.33%E -2.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.80%E -2.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-15 09:45
Svenska Spel🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.33%E -2.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.80%E -2.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-15 09:44
Betway🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.25%E -2.46%K -5.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 09:14
888sport🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.25%E -2.46%K -5.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 09:14
888sport (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.25%E -2.46%K -5.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 09:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.25%E -2.46%K -5.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 09:14
betfred_uk🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.25%E -2.46%K -5.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 09:19
PlayUp🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.80%E -2.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-15 14:04
Fanatics🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.36%E -3.13%K -7.55%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-15 08:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.36%E -3.13%K -7.55%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-15 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.36%E -3.13%K -7.55%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-15 06:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.44%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-15 09:20
Coral🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.44%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-15 09:24
Betr (AU)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.44%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-15 14:14
TAB🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.44%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-15 14:03
theScore Bet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.46%E -3.82%K -9.37%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-15 08:54
BetMGM🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.46%E -3.82%K -9.37%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-15 09:24
betano_uk🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-15 11:19
Bet Victor🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-15 11:18
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.09I 47.85%NM 44.85%EV -6.67%E -3.19%K -6.12%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.15%EV -5.91%E -3.48%K -8.44%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-15 11:54
LeoVegas🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.12%E -3.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-15 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.57%E -3.66%K -7.07%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-15 09:44
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -8.01%E -3.89%K -7.56%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.02%E -4.18%K -10.32%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-15 09:23
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.80%E -2.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-15 09:20
Neds🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.80%E -2.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-15 09:19
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-15 12:29
BoyleSports🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.57%E -4.53%K -11.30%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-15 08:55
ReBet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.69%E -5.35%K -10.69%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.68%E -5.26%K -13.35%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-08-15 08:59

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%	1.3%	2026-08-15 14:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%	1.3%	2026-08-15 14:10
Matchbook◎	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%	1.3%	2026-08-15 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%	1.3%	2026-08-15 14:10
ProphetX◎	2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61%	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39%	1.4%	2026-08-15 14:05
Novig◎	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%	4.0%	2026-08-15 14:14

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