StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Stefanos Tsitsipas v Felix Auger-Aliassime

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-16 17:19 UTC

Endstand: Stefanos Tsitsipas 0–2 Felix Auger-Aliassime

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Heim)

Prognose 43.05%2.32faire Quote
EV +1.17%
Vorteil +0.498%
Kelly +0.868%
Wachstum +0.010%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.28%43.01%42.86%45.17%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.082.172.152.3548.08%46.08%46.51%42.55%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Auswärts)

Prognose 56.95%1.76faire Quote
EV -0.340%
Vorteil -0.194%
Kelly -0.454%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.83%56.99%57.14%60.72%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.521.681.671.7565.79%59.51%59.70%57.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Stefanos Tsitsipas (Heim): 43.05%; Felix Auger-Aliassime (Auswärts): 56.95%. Für Stefanos Tsitsipas (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.32. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.35 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.17%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV +1.17%E +0.498%K +0.868%G +0.010%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -13.44%E -8.84%K -25.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 16:15
DraftKings🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV +0.741%E +0.317%K +0.553%G +0.004%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -10.02%E -6.34%K -17.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 17:05
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV +0.310%E +0.133%K +0.233%G +0.001%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.981%E -0.427%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.981%E -0.427%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 16:24
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -1.84%E -0.808%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 16:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 17:04
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 16:00
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 17:05
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.56%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 17:04
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 16:20
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.43%E -1.99%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 16:15
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 17:08
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 17:05
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 16:05
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 15:55
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 17:05
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 16:44
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 17:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.60%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 16:45
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.60%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.88%E -5.55%K -14.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 16:45
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.88%E -5.55%K -14.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 16:45
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 16:04
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -7.01%E -3.24%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 17:04
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -1.48%E -0.855%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 16:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 16:04
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.62%E -1.53%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 16:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 17:05
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 14:49
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:44
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.31%E -5.16%K -13.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 17:15
GTbets🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -8.30%E -3.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -0.340%E -0.194%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 08:04
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:44
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:45
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:44
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:45
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:44
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:44
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:44
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.855%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 11:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.855%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 11:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.855%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 11:59
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.855%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 11:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.855%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 00:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.62%E -1.53%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 06:55
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.62%E -1.53%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 11:57
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 15:48
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 15:49
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 16:15
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 17:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.45%E -5.03%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.19%E -1.88%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 08:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-08-16 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-16 17:15
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-16 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-16 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-08-16 17:15
Novig◎2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%1.7%2026-08-16 17:10
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-08-16 17:15