Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Stefanos Tsitsipas v Felix Auger-Aliassime

Inizio: 2026-08-16 17:19 UTC

Finale: Stefanos Tsitsipas 0–2 Felix Auger-Aliassime

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Casa)

Previsione 43.05%2.32quota equa
EV +1.17%
Vantaggio +0.498%
Kelly +0.868%
Crescita +0.010%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.28%43.01%42.86%45.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.082.172.152.3548.08%46.08%46.51%42.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Trasferta)

Previsione 56.95%1.76quota equa
EV -0.340%
Vantaggio -0.194%
Kelly -0.454%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.83%56.99%57.14%60.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.681.671.7565.79%59.51%59.70%57.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Stefanos Tsitsipas (Casa): 43.05%; Felix Auger-Aliassime (Trasferta): 56.95%. Per Stefanos Tsitsipas (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.32. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.35, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.17%.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV +1.17%E +0.498%K +0.868%G +0.010%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -13.44%E -8.84%K -25.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 16:15
DraftKings🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV +0.741%E +0.317%K +0.553%G +0.004%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -10.02%E -6.34%K -17.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 17:05
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV +0.310%E +0.133%K +0.233%G +0.001%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.981%E -0.427%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.981%E -0.427%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 16:24
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -1.84%E -0.808%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 16:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 17:04
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 16:00
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 17:05
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.56%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 17:04
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 16:20
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.43%E -1.99%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 16:15
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 17:08
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 17:05
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 16:05
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 15:55
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 17:05
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 16:44
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 17:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.60%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 16:45
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.60%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.88%E -5.55%K -14.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 16:45
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.88%E -5.55%K -14.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 16:45
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 16:04
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -7.01%E -3.24%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 17:04
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -1.48%E -0.855%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 16:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 16:04
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.62%E -1.53%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 16:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 17:05
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 14:49
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:44
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.31%E -5.16%K -13.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 17:15
GTbets🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -8.30%E -3.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -0.340%E -0.194%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 08:04
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:44
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:45
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:44
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:45
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:44
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:44
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.73%E -4.12%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:44
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.855%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 11:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.855%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 11:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.855%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 11:59
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.855%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 11:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.855%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 00:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.62%E -1.53%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 06:55
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.62%E -1.53%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 11:57
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 15:48
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 15:49
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 16:15
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 17:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.45%E -5.03%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.19%E -1.88%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 08:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-08-16 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-16 17:15
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-16 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-16 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-08-16 17:15
Novig◎2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%1.7%2026-08-16 17:10
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-08-16 17:15