Language:English
Sebastian Baez v Grigor Dimitrov
Head to Head
Sebastian Baez (Local)
Prediction 43.60%2.29fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.643%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.64%43.75%43.63%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.202.2647.62%45.76%45.45%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grigor Dimitrov (Visit)
Prediction 56.40%1.77fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.25%56.37%57.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.681.671.7460.98%59.57%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sebastian Baez (Local): 43.60%; Grigor Dimitrov (Visit): 56.40%. For Sebastian Baez (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.26, with an expected value of -1.45%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.45%E -0.643%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -3.00%E -1.74%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-12 18:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -1.45%E -0.643%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 16:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.76%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.00%E -1.74%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-12 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.76%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 16:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%EV -3.63%E -1.64%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.23%EV -3.00%E -1.74%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-12 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:33 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 17:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 18:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.87%E -1.08%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-12 17:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.87%E -1.08%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-12 17:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.69%E -2.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-12 16:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-12 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 16:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.51%E -4.58%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-12 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.43%E -4.01%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.44%E -1.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 16:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.43%E -4.01%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.69%E -2.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-12 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.43%E -4.01%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-12 16:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25% | 1.6% | 2026-08-12 19:00 |
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