Sprache:Deutsch
Sebastian Baez v Grigor Dimitrov
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Sebastian Baez (Heim)
Prognose 42.15%2.37faire Quote
EV -2.63%
Vorteil -1.14%
Kelly -2.01%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.31
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
40.26%42.10%42.16%43.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.152.232.202.3146.51%44.94%45.45%43.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Grigor Dimitrov (Auswärts)
Prognose 57.85%1.73faire Quote
EV -2.24%
Vorteil -1.32%
Kelly -3.24%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.69
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.48%57.90%57.84%59.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.551.641.651.6964.52%60.87%60.61%59.17%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Sebastian Baez (Heim): 42.15%; Grigor Dimitrov (Auswärts): 57.85%. Für Grigor Dimitrov (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.73. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 1.69, bei einem Erwartungswert von -2.24%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.
Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.97%E -2.39%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-14 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 16:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 09:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.33%E -6.67%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 15:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -3.90%E -1.71%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -2.24%E -1.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.90%E -1.71%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 15:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 16:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 04:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 16:23 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 15:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 15:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 16:23 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.13%E -3.13%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.13%E -3.13%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 15:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.13%E -3.13%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.71%E -3.50%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.71%E -3.50%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 16:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 15:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 15:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 15:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.18%E -5.85%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 15:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.18%E -5.85%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 15:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.24%E -1.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 16:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 05:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.13%E -3.13%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 15:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.13%E -3.13%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 15:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 15:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 15:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 15:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.18%E -5.85%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (6)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 1.5% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |