預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Sebastian Baez v Grigor Dimitrov

開賽時間: 2026-08-14 16:31 UTC

最終賽果: Sebastian Baez 2–1 Grigor Dimitrov

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

59 家博彩公司 (18 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Sebastian Baez (主隊)

預測 42.15%2.37公平賠率
EV -2.63%
優勢 -1.14%
Kelly -2.01%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.31

博彩公司預測分布
40.26%42.10%42.16%43.52%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.152.232.202.3146.51%44.94%45.45%43.29%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Grigor Dimitrov (客隊)

預測 57.85%1.73公平賠率
EV -2.24%
優勢 -1.32%
Kelly -3.24%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.69

博彩公司預測分布
56.48%57.90%57.84%59.74%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.551.641.651.6964.52%60.87%60.61%59.17%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Sebastian Baez (主隊):42.15%;Grigor Dimitrov (客隊):57.85%。 對於「Grigor Dimitrov (客隊)」,該估計相當於1.73的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為1.69,期望值為-2.24%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (59 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 16:24
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 16:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.97%E -2.39%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 15:30
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 16:23
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 09:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.33%E -6.67%K -18.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 15:30
DraftKings🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 16:20
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -3.90%E -1.71%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -2.24%E -1.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 16:25
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.90%E -1.71%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 15:39
GTbets🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-12 16:34
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:40
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 04:14
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 16:23
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 15:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 15:29
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 16:23
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.13%E -3.13%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 16:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.13%E -3.13%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 15:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.13%E -3.13%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 16:24
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.71%E -3.50%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.71%E -3.50%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 16:15
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 15:39
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 16:24
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 15:40
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 16:29
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.18%E -5.85%K -16.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 15:40
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.18%E -5.85%K -16.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 15:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.24%E -1.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 12:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 16:45
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 16:00
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 05:39
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.13%E -3.13%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 15:39
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.13%E -3.13%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 15:40
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 16:30
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 16:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 16:30
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 15:39
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 15:39
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 15:39
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.18%E -5.85%K -16.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 16:30
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:15
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:15
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:15
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:14
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:14
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:14
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 12:14
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-08-14 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-08-14 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-08-14 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-08-14 16:25
Novig◎2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%0.7%2026-08-14 16:30
ProphetX◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%1.5%2026-08-14 16:30