语言:简体中文
Sebastian Baez v Grigor Dimitrov
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Sebastian Baez (主队)
预测 42.15%2.37公平赔率
EV -2.63%
优势 -1.14%
Kelly -2.01%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.31
博彩公司预测分布
40.26%42.10%42.16%43.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.232.202.3146.51%44.94%45.45%43.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
Grigor Dimitrov (客队)
预测 57.85%1.73公平赔率
EV -2.24%
优势 -1.32%
Kelly -3.24%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.69
博彩公司预测分布
56.48%57.90%57.84%59.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.641.651.6964.52%60.87%60.61%59.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Sebastian Baez (主队)：42.15%；Grigor Dimitrov (客队)：57.85%。 对于“Grigor Dimitrov (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.73。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.69，期望值为-2.24%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.97%E -2.39%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-14 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 16:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 09:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.33%E -6.67%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 15:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -3.90%E -1.71%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -2.24%E -1.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.90%E -1.71%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 15:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 16:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 04:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 16:23 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 15:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 15:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 16:23 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.13%E -3.13%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.13%E -3.13%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 15:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.13%E -3.13%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.71%E -3.50%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.71%E -3.50%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 16:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 15:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 15:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 15:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.18%E -5.85%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 15:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.18%E -5.85%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 15:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.24%E -1.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 16:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 05:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.13%E -3.13%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 15:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.13%E -3.13%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 15:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 15:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 15:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 15:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.18%E -5.85%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.11%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 1.5% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |