StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nuno Borges v Francisco Cerundolo

Matchstart: 2026-08-16 19:10 UTC

Slutresultat: Nuno Borges 2–0 Francisco Cerundolo

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nuno Borges (Hemma)

Prognos 54.88%1.82rättvist odds
EV -1.76%
Fördel -0.983%
Kelly -2.23%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.79

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
53.05%55.01%54.83%57.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.621.731.741.7961.73%57.78%57.47%55.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Francisco Cerundolo (Borta)

Prognos 45.12%2.22rättvist odds
EV +0.160%
Fördel +0.072%
Kelly +0.131%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.22

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.41%44.99%45.17%46.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.002.092.092.2250.00%47.82%47.85%45.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Nuno Borges (Hemma): 54.88%; Francisco Cerundolo (Borta): 45.12%. För Francisco Cerundolo (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.216. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.220, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.160%.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV +0.160%E +0.072%K +0.131%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.742%E -0.337%K -0.618%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.09%E -6.85%K -17.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -0.742%E -0.337%K -0.618%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 18:29
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.09%E -6.85%K -17.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -0.742%E -0.337%K -0.618%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 18:34
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -9.44%E -5.72%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -1.64%E -0.754%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 18:35
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.55%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 18:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.55%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.55%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 18:10
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 19:09
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 19:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:09
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:10
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.25%E -4.29%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 19:05
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -1.76%E -0.983%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -3.90%E -1.83%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-16 18:30
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 19:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 10:15
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.86%E -1.61%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 12:15
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 17:45
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 17:40
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 17:34
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 17:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 19:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 17:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 17:34
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 15:59
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 17:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 19:04
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -11.09%E -6.85%K -17.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 19:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.71%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 10:25
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.71%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 10:14
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.71%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 10:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:20
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:19
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:19
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:20
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:20
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:20
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:19
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.86%E -1.61%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:55
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:49
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 19:09
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 10:14
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 14:17
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 18:34
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 17:35
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 17:38
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 09:54
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 17:49
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 17:40
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -1.76%E -0.983%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -7.96%E -3.90%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 09:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.86%E -4.39%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 08:19
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.86%E -1.61%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.77%E -4.88%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 15:49
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-08-16 19:05
ProphetX◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-08-16 19:05
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-16 19:05
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-08-16 19:05