StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Nuno Borges v Francisco Cerundolo

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-16 19:10 UTC

Endstand: Nuno Borges 2–0 Francisco Cerundolo

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Nuno Borges (Heim)

Prognose 54.88%1.82faire Quote
EV -1.76%
Vorteil -0.983%
Kelly -2.23%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.79

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
53.05%55.01%54.83%57.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.621.731.741.7961.73%57.78%57.47%55.87%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Francisco Cerundolo (Auswärts)

Prognose 45.12%2.22faire Quote
EV +0.160%
Vorteil +0.072%
Kelly +0.131%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.22

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
42.41%44.99%45.17%46.95%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.002.092.092.2250.00%47.82%47.85%45.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Nuno Borges (Heim): 54.88%; Francisco Cerundolo (Auswärts): 45.12%. Für Francisco Cerundolo (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.216. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.220 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.160%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV +0.160%E +0.072%K +0.131%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.742%E -0.337%K -0.618%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.09%E -6.85%K -17.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -0.742%E -0.337%K -0.618%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 18:29
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.09%E -6.85%K -17.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -0.742%E -0.337%K -0.618%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 18:34
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -9.44%E -5.72%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -1.64%E -0.754%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 18:35
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.55%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 18:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.55%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.55%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 18:10
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 19:09
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 19:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:09
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:10
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.25%E -4.29%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 19:05
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -1.76%E -0.983%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -3.90%E -1.83%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-16 18:30
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 19:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 10:15
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.86%E -1.61%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 12:15
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 17:45
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 17:40
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 17:34
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 17:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 19:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 17:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 17:34
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 15:59
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 17:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 19:04
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -11.09%E -6.85%K -17.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 19:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.71%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 10:25
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.71%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 10:14
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.71%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 10:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:20
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:19
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:19
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:20
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:20
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:20
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:19
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 08:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.86%E -1.61%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:55
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:49
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 19:09
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 10:14
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 14:17
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 18:34
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 17:35
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 17:38
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 09:54
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 17:49
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 17:40
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -1.76%E -0.983%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -7.96%E -3.90%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 09:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.86%E -4.39%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 08:19
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.86%E -1.61%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.77%E -4.88%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 15:49
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-08-16 19:05
ProphetX◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-08-16 19:05
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-16 19:05
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-08-16 19:05