Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nuno Borges v Francisco Cerundolo

2026-08-16 15:00 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nuno Borges (Local)

Previsão 53.40%1.87odd justa
EV -2.28%
Vantagem -1.25%
Kelly -2.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.39%53.46%54.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.771.761.8358.82%56.47%56.82%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante)

Previsão 46.60%2.15odd justa
EV -2.14%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -1.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.33%46.61%46.54%48.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.032.052.1051.28%49.30%48.78%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Nuno Borges (Local): 53.40%; Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante): 46.60%. Para Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.15. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.10, com valor esperado de -2.14%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.28%E -1.25%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.82%E -1.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.07%E -1.48%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 10:00
DraftKings🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.82%E -1.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 10:00
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -3.35%E -1.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -3.07%E -1.48%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 11:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 13:24
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 09:54
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 11:54
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 09:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 09:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 09:34
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:00
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 14:20
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 10:14
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.66%E -4.42%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 10:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.66%E -4.42%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 10:09
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 10:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.88%E -2.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 10:15
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.42%E -2.47%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.93%E -2.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 09:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 13:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.40%E -2.66%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 10:13
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 13:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 10:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 09:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.02%E -3.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.53%E -1.71%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 10:04
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.02%E -3.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.53%E -1.71%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 10:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.02%E -3.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.53%E -1.71%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 10:05
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.02%E -3.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.53%E -1.71%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 10:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.02%E -3.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.53%E -1.71%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.02%E -3.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.53%E -1.71%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 10:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.02%E -3.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.53%E -1.71%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 10:05
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.02%E -3.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.53%E -1.71%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 10:05
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.02%E -3.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.53%E -1.71%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 10:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.02%E -3.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.53%E -1.71%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 10:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.02%E -3.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.53%E -1.71%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 10:04
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.02%E -3.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.53%E -1.71%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 10:05
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.02%E -3.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.53%E -1.71%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 10:04
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.02%E -3.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.53%E -1.71%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 10:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.54%EV -6.33%E -3.15%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 11:44
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 11:49
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 10:09
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 10:08
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.09%E -4.07%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 09:54
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.09%E -4.07%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 14:17
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.62%E -4.41%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -7.62%E -4.41%K -10.44%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -7.26%E -3.65%K -7.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 09:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.16%E -4.74%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 10:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.16%E -4.74%K -11.33%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -8.19%E -4.16%K -8.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 12:29
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -8.69%E -5.08%K -12.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 09:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.22%E -5.43%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 09:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-08-15 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-08-15 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-08-15 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-08-15 14:35
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%2.4%2026-08-15 14:30
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%4.4%2026-08-15 14:35

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