Idioma:Português
Nuno Borges v Francisco Cerundolo
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Nuno Borges (Local)
Previsão 54.88%1.82odd justa
EV -1.76%
Vantagem -0.983%
Kelly -2.23%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.79
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.05%55.01%54.83%57.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.731.741.7961.73%57.78%57.47%55.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante)
Previsão 45.12%2.22odd justa
EV +0.160%
Vantagem +0.072%
Kelly +0.131%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.41%44.99%45.17%46.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.092.092.2250.00%47.82%47.85%45.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Nuno Borges (Local): 54.88%; Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante): 45.12%. Para Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.216. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.220, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.160%.
Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV +0.160%E +0.072%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 18:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.742%E -0.337%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.09%E -6.85%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -0.742%E -0.337%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 18:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.09%E -6.85%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -0.742%E -0.337%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 18:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -9.44%E -5.72%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -1.64%E -0.754%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 18:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.55%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.55%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.55%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 18:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.25%E -4.29%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -1.76%E -0.983%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -3.90%E -1.83%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 10:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.86%E -1.61%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 12:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 17:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 17:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 17:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 17:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 17:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -11.09%E -6.85%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.71%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 10:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.71%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 10:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.71%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 10:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.86%E -1.61%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 10:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 14:17 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 17:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 17:38 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 17:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -1.76%E -0.983%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -7.96%E -3.90%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 09:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.86%E -4.39%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 08:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.86%E -1.61%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.77%E -4.88%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 15:49 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94% | 2.5% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |