Langue:Français
Nuno Borges v Francisco Cerundolo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Nuno Borges (Local)
Prévision 54.88%1.82cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -0.983%
Kelly -2.23%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.79
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.05%55.01%54.83%57.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.621.731.741.7961.73%57.78%57.47%55.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Francisco Cerundolo (Visiteur)
Prévision 45.12%2.22cote équitable
EV +0.160%
Avantage +0.072%
Kelly +0.131%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.22
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.41%44.99%45.17%46.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.092.092.2250.00%47.82%47.85%45.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Nuno Borges (Local) : 54.88% ; Francisco Cerundolo (Visiteur) : 45.12%. Pour Francisco Cerundolo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.216. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.220, soit une espérance positive de +0.160%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV +0.160%E +0.072%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 18:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.742%E -0.337%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.09%E -6.85%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -0.742%E -0.337%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 18:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.09%E -6.85%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -0.742%E -0.337%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 18:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -9.44%E -5.72%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -1.64%E -0.754%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 18:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.55%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.55%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.55%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 18:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.25%E -4.29%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -1.76%E -0.983%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -3.90%E -1.83%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 10:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.86%E -1.61%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 12:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 17:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 17:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 17:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 17:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 17:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -11.09%E -6.85%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.71%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 10:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.71%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 10:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.71%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 10:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 08:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.86%E -1.61%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 10:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 14:17 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.60%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 17:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 17:38 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 17:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -1.76%E -0.983%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -7.96%E -3.90%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 09:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.86%E -4.39%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 08:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.86%E -1.61%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.77%E -4.88%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 15:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94% | 2.5% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |