預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Novak Djokovic v Thiago Agustin Tirante

開賽時間: 2026-08-15 18:10 UTC

最終賽果: Novak Djokovic 1–2 Thiago Agustin Tirante

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

63 家博彩公司 (21 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Novak Djokovic (主隊)

預測 75.91%1.32公平賠率
EV -2.08%
優勢 -1.61%
Kelly -7.16%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.29

博彩公司預測分布
73.62%75.82%75.88%76.99%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.201.251.251.2983.33%79.85%80.00%77.52%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Thiago Agustin Tirante (客隊)

預測 24.09%4.15公平賠率
EV -0.025%
優勢 -0.006%
Kelly -0.008%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.15

博彩公司預測分布
23.01%24.18%24.12%26.38%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.603.863.854.1527.78%25.90%25.97%24.10%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Novak Djokovic (主隊):75.91%;Thiago Agustin Tirante (客隊):24.09%。 對於「Thiago Agustin Tirante (客隊)」,該估計相當於4.151的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為4.150,期望值為-0.025%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (63 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.52%EV -2.08%E -1.61%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.48%EV -4.12%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-15 18:05
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.08%E -1.61%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 08:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.08%E -1.61%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 08:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.08%E -1.61%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 08:39
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.08%E -1.61%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 08:38
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -2.84%E -2.22%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 17:39
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.84%E -2.22%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 17:00
GTbets🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.26%EV -3.59%E -2.83%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.74%EV -1.71%E -0.420%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 18:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.59%E -2.83%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 04:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.23%E -0.300%K -0.397%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 18:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.23%E -0.300%K -0.397%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 14:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -2.92%E -0.724%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 14:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -2.92%E -0.724%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 14:09
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:09
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:10
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:10
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:09
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:09
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:09
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:07
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -7.49%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 17:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 15:25
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 15:24
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.23%E -0.300%K -0.397%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 09:00
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.50%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.50%EV -1.95%E -0.480%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 18:09
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -3.40%E -0.847%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:00
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 18:04
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 15:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 18:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 18:00
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:39
ReBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 17:59
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 18:00
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 18:00
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 17:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 18:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 12:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 15:50
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 08:54
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:28
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 08:39
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.87%E -4.74%K -24.47%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -0.025%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 16:55
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.87%E -4.74%K -24.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 18:00
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.87%E -4.74%K -24.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 15:25
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.87%E -4.74%K -24.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 16:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.87%E -4.74%K -24.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 04:09
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -5.87%E -4.74%K -24.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -12.07%E -3.31%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 18:00
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 18:43
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 16:19
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 15:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 18:04
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 15:50
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 15:50
Fliff🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -8.15%E -6.73%K -38.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 18:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.91%E -7.42%K -44.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 07:09
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.1%2026-08-15 18:05
ProphetX◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-08-15 18:09
Matchbook◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-08-15 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-08-15 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-08-15 18:10
Smarkets◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%2.0%2026-08-15 18:10
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97%2.2%2026-08-15 18:05