StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Novak Djokovic v Thiago Agustin Tirante

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 18:10 UTC

Slutresultat: Novak Djokovic 1–2 Thiago Agustin Tirante

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Novak Djokovic (Hemma)

Prognos 75.91%1.32rättvist odds
EV -2.08%
Fördel -1.61%
Kelly -7.16%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.29

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
73.62%75.82%75.88%76.99%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.201.251.251.2983.33%79.85%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Borta)

Prognos 24.09%4.15rättvist odds
EV -0.025%
Fördel -0.006%
Kelly -0.008%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.15

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.01%24.18%24.12%26.38%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.603.863.854.1527.78%25.90%25.97%24.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Novak Djokovic (Hemma): 75.91%; Thiago Agustin Tirante (Borta): 24.09%. För Thiago Agustin Tirante (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.151. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 4.150, med väntevärdet -0.025%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.52%EV -2.08%E -1.61%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.48%EV -4.12%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-15 18:05
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.08%E -1.61%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 08:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.08%E -1.61%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 08:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.08%E -1.61%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 08:39
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.08%E -1.61%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 08:38
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -2.84%E -2.22%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 17:39
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.84%E -2.22%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 17:00
GTbets🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.26%EV -3.59%E -2.83%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.74%EV -1.71%E -0.420%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 18:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.59%E -2.83%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 04:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.23%E -0.300%K -0.397%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 18:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.23%E -0.300%K -0.397%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 14:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -2.92%E -0.724%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 14:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -2.92%E -0.724%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 14:09
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:09
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:10
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:10
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:09
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:09
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:09
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:07
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 04:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -7.49%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 17:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 15:25
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 15:24
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.23%E -0.300%K -0.397%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 09:00
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.50%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.50%EV -1.95%E -0.480%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 18:09
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -3.40%E -0.847%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:00
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 18:04
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 15:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 18:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 18:00
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:39
ReBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 17:59
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 18:00
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 18:00
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 17:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 18:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 12:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 15:50
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 08:54
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:28
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 08:39
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.87%E -4.74%K -24.47%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -0.025%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 16:55
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.87%E -4.74%K -24.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 18:00
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.87%E -4.74%K -24.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 15:25
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.87%E -4.74%K -24.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 16:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.87%E -4.74%K -24.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 04:09
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -5.87%E -4.74%K -24.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -12.07%E -3.31%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 18:00
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 18:43
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 16:19
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 15:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 18:04
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 15:50
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 15:50
Fliff🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -8.15%E -6.73%K -38.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 18:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.91%E -7.42%K -44.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 07:09
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.1%2026-08-15 18:05
ProphetX◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-08-15 18:09
Matchbook◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-08-15 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-08-15 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-08-15 18:10
Smarkets◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%2.0%2026-08-15 18:10
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97%2.2%2026-08-15 18:05