Langue:Français
Novak Djokovic v Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Novak Djokovic (Local)
Prévision 75.91%1.32cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -1.61%
Kelly -7.16%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.29
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.62%75.82%75.88%76.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.251.251.2983.33%79.85%80.00%77.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.09%4.15cote équitable
EV -0.025%
Avantage -0.006%
Kelly -0.008%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.01%24.18%24.12%26.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.863.854.1527.78%25.90%25.97%24.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Novak Djokovic (Local) : 75.91% ; Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visiteur) : 24.09%. Pour Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.151. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.150, pour une espérance de -0.025% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.52%EV -2.08%E -1.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.48%EV -4.12%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 18:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.08%E -1.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 08:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.08%E -1.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 08:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.08%E -1.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 08:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.08%E -1.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 08:38 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -2.84%E -2.22%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 17:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.84%E -2.22%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 17:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.26%EV -3.59%E -2.83%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.74%EV -1.71%E -0.420%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 18:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.59%E -2.83%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 04:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.23%E -0.300%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.23%E -0.300%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 14:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -2.92%E -0.724%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 14:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -2.92%E -0.724%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 14:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:07 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -7.49%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 15:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 15:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.23%E -0.300%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 09:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.50%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.50%EV -1.95%E -0.480%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -3.40%E -0.847%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 15:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 08:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 12:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 15:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 10:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 08:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.87%E -4.74%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -0.025%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 16:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.87%E -4.74%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.87%E -4.74%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 15:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.87%E -4.74%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 16:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.87%E -4.74%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 04:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -5.87%E -4.74%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -12.07%E -3.31%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 16:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 15:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 15:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 15:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -8.15%E -6.73%K -38.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.91%E -7.42%K -44.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 07:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77% | 0.1% | 2026-08-15 18:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 18:05 |