Lingua:Italiano
Novak Djokovic v Thiago Agustin Tirante
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Novak Djokovic (Casa)
Previsione 75.91%1.32quota equa
EV -2.08%
Vantaggio -1.61%
Kelly -7.16%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.29
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.62%75.82%75.88%76.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.251.251.2983.33%79.85%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Trasferta)
Previsione 24.09%4.15quota equa
EV -0.025%
Vantaggio -0.006%
Kelly -0.008%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.15
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.01%24.18%24.12%26.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.863.854.1527.78%25.90%25.97%24.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Novak Djokovic (Casa): 75.91%; Thiago Agustin Tirante (Trasferta): 24.09%. Per Thiago Agustin Tirante (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.151. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 4.150, con un valore atteso del -0.025%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.52%EV -2.08%E -1.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.48%EV -4.12%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 18:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.08%E -1.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 08:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.08%E -1.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 08:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.08%E -1.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 08:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.08%E -1.61%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 08:38 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -2.84%E -2.22%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 17:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.84%E -2.22%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 17:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.26%EV -3.59%E -2.83%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.74%EV -1.71%E -0.420%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 18:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.59%E -2.83%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 04:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.23%E -0.300%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.23%E -0.300%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 14:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -2.92%E -0.724%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 14:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -2.92%E -0.724%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 14:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:07 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 04:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -7.49%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 15:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.35%E -3.46%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 15:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.23%E -0.300%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 09:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.50%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.50%EV -1.95%E -0.480%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -3.40%E -0.847%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 15:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 08:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 12:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 15:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 10:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 08:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.87%E -4.74%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -0.025%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 16:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.87%E -4.74%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.87%E -4.74%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 15:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.87%E -4.74%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 16:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.87%E -4.74%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 04:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -5.87%E -4.74%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -12.07%E -3.31%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 16:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 15:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 15:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 15:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -8.15%E -6.73%K -38.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.91%E -7.42%K -44.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 07:09 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77% | 0.1% | 2026-08-15 18:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 18:05 |