语言:简体中文
Michael Zheng v Lorenzo Musetti
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Michael Zheng (主队)
预测 36.49%2.74公平赔率
EV +1.43%
优势 +0.515%
Kelly +0.804%
增长率 +0.012%
假设最高赔率为 2.78
博彩公司预测分布
35.20%36.62%36.59%39.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.382.592.602.7842.02%38.57%38.46%35.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
Lorenzo Musetti (客队)
预测 63.51%1.57公平赔率
EV -0.283%
优势 -0.180%
Kelly -0.497%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.57
博彩公司预测分布
60.25%63.38%63.41%64.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.451.501.501.5768.97%66.74%66.67%63.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Michael Zheng (主队)：36.49%；Lorenzo Musetti (客队)：63.51%。 对于“Michael Zheng (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.74。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.78，对应+1.43%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +1.43%E +0.515%K +0.804%G +0.012% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -4.09%E -2.71%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV +0.337%E +0.123%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV +0.337%E +0.123%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.49%E -0.551%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.46%E -2.28%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.49%E -0.551%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 16:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.49%E -0.551%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.49%E -0.551%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.00%E -4.05%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -2.22%E -0.827%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -2.82%E -1.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.31%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-18 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.31%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.36%E -3.60%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.31%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.63%E -4.51%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.41%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.09%E -2.71%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.41%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 13:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.41%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -5.36%E -3.60%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.00%E -4.05%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 16:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.00%E -4.05%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.00%E -4.05%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.63%E -4.51%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -5.87%E -2.27%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -3.46%E -2.28%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-18 16:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -6.60%E -2.58%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -6.63%E -4.51%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.36%E -3.60%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.00%E -4.05%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.90%E -5.45%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-18 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.82%E -1.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.46%E -2.28%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 16:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.63%E -4.51%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 07:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.90%E -5.45%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 16:21 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.82%E -1.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 10:02 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -13.16%E -5.53%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.283%E -0.180%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 10:04 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 1.0% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 1.0% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59% | 2.3% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |