Idioma:Español
Michael Zheng v Lorenzo Musetti
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Michael Zheng (Local)
Predicción 36.49%2.74momio equitativo
EV +1.43%
Ventaja +0.515%
Kelly +0.804%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.20%36.62%36.59%39.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.382.592.602.7842.02%38.57%38.46%35.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Visitante)
Predicción 63.51%1.57momio equitativo
EV -0.283%
Ventaja -0.180%
Kelly -0.497%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.25%63.38%63.41%64.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.501.501.5768.97%66.74%66.67%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Michael Zheng (Local): 36.49%; Lorenzo Musetti (Visitante): 63.51%. Para Michael Zheng (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.74. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.78, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.43%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +1.43%E +0.515%K +0.804%G +0.012% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -4.09%E -2.71%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV +0.337%E +0.123%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV +0.337%E +0.123%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.49%E -0.551%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.46%E -2.28%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.49%E -0.551%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 16:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.49%E -0.551%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.49%E -0.551%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.00%E -4.05%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -2.22%E -0.827%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -2.82%E -1.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.31%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-18 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.31%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.36%E -3.60%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.31%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.63%E -4.51%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.41%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.09%E -2.71%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.41%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 13:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.41%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -5.36%E -3.60%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.00%E -4.05%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 16:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.00%E -4.05%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.00%E -4.05%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.63%E -4.51%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -5.87%E -2.27%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -3.46%E -2.28%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-18 16:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -6.60%E -2.58%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -6.63%E -4.51%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.36%E -3.60%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.00%E -4.05%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.90%E -5.45%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-18 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.82%E -1.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.46%E -2.28%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 16:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.63%E -4.51%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 07:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.90%E -5.45%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 16:21 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.82%E -1.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 10:02 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -13.16%E -5.53%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.283%E -0.180%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 10:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 1.0% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 1.0% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59% | 2.3% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |