StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Michael Zheng v Lorenzo Musetti

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-18 16:54 UTC

Endstand: Michael Zheng 0–2 Lorenzo Musetti

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Michael Zheng (Heim)

Prognose 36.49%2.74faire Quote
EV +1.43%
Vorteil +0.515%
Kelly +0.804%
Wachstum +0.012%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.78

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
35.20%36.62%36.59%39.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.382.592.602.7842.02%38.57%38.46%35.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Lorenzo Musetti (Auswärts)

Prognose 63.51%1.57faire Quote
EV -0.283%
Vorteil -0.180%
Kelly -0.497%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.57

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
60.25%63.38%63.41%64.80%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.451.501.501.5768.97%66.74%66.67%63.69%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Michael Zheng (Heim): 36.49%; Lorenzo Musetti (Auswärts): 63.51%. Für Michael Zheng (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.74. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.78 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.43%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +1.43%E +0.515%K +0.804%G +0.012%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -4.09%E -2.71%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-18 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV +0.337%E +0.123%K +0.193%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV +0.337%E +0.123%K +0.193%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 14:55
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.49%E -0.551%K -0.875%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.46%E -2.28%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-18 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.49%E -0.551%K -0.875%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-18 16:25
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.49%E -0.551%K -0.875%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-18 16:35
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.49%E -0.551%K -0.875%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.00%E -4.05%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 16:30
1xBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -2.22%E -0.827%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -2.82%E -1.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-18 16:40
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.31%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-18 16:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.31%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.36%E -3.60%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 16:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.31%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.63%E -4.51%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 16:40
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.41%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.09%E -2.71%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-18 16:30
DraftKings🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.41%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 13:15
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.41%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 16:15
ReBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -5.36%E -3.60%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 16:35
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 16:35
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 16:15
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 16:34
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 16:35
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 16:34
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 16:15
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 07:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 07:45
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 07:44
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 07:45
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 07:45
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 07:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 07:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 07:44
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 07:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 07:44
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 07:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 07:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 07:45
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 07:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 16:35
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.00%E -4.05%K -12.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 16:34
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.00%E -4.05%K -12.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.00%E -4.05%K -12.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 16:35
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.63%E -4.51%K -14.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-18 16:30
GTbets🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -5.87%E -2.27%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -3.46%E -2.28%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 16:20
SportsBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -6.60%E -2.58%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -6.63%E -4.51%K -14.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.36%E -3.60%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 16:40
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.00%E -4.05%K -12.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 16:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.90%E -5.45%K -17.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-18 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.82%E -1.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 16:30
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.46%E -2.28%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 16:40
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 16:15
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 16:30
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 16:30
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 16:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.63%E -4.51%K -14.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 07:44
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.90%E -5.45%K -17.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-18 16:21
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.82%E -1.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 10:02
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -13.16%E -5.53%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.283%E -0.180%K -0.497%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 10:04
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-08-18 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-08-18 16:40
Matchbook◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-08-18 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%1.0%2026-08-18 16:40
ProphetX◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%1.0%2026-08-18 16:40
Novig◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%1.1%2026-08-18 16:40
Smarkets◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%2.3%2026-08-18 16:30