Język:Polski
Michael Zheng v Lorenzo Musetti
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Michael Zheng (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 36.49%2.74kurs godziwy
EV +1.43%
Przewaga +0.515%
Kelly +0.804%
Wzrost +0.012%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.78
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
35.20%36.62%36.59%39.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.382.592.602.7842.02%38.57%38.46%35.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Lorenzo Musetti (Goście)
Prognoza 63.51%1.57kurs godziwy
EV -0.283%
Przewaga -0.180%
Kelly -0.497%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.57
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
60.25%63.38%63.41%64.80%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.451.501.501.5768.97%66.74%66.67%63.69%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Michael Zheng (Gospodarze): 36.49%; Lorenzo Musetti (Goście): 63.51%. Dla wyniku Michael Zheng (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.74. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.78, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.43%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +1.43%E +0.515%K +0.804%G +0.012% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -4.09%E -2.71%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV +0.337%E +0.123%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV +0.337%E +0.123%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.49%E -0.551%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.46%E -2.28%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.49%E -0.551%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 16:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.49%E -0.551%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.49%E -0.551%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.00%E -4.05%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -2.22%E -0.827%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -2.82%E -1.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.31%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-18 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.31%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.36%E -3.60%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.31%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.63%E -4.51%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.41%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.09%E -2.71%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.41%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 13:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.41%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -5.36%E -3.60%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.00%E -4.05%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 16:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.00%E -4.05%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.00%E -4.05%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.63%E -4.51%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -5.87%E -2.27%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -3.46%E -2.28%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-18 16:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -6.60%E -2.58%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -6.63%E -4.51%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.36%E -3.60%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.00%E -4.05%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.90%E -5.45%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-18 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.82%E -1.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.46%E -2.28%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 16:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.63%E -4.51%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 07:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.90%E -5.45%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 16:21 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.82%E -1.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 10:02 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -13.16%E -5.53%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.283%E -0.180%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 10:04 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 1.0% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 1.0% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59% | 2.3% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |