Язык:Русский
Learner Tien v Sebastian Baez
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Learner Tien (Хозяева)
Прогноз 73.21%1.37справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.63%
Преимущество -1.98%
Kelly -7.98%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.33
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
71.27%73.27%73.22%76.28%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.251.301.301.3380.00%77.13%76.92%75.19%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Sebastian Baez (Гости)
Прогноз 26.79%3.73справедливый коэффициент
EV +7.71%
Преимущество +1.92%
Kelly +2.55%
Рост +0.197%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.02
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.72%26.73%26.78%28.73%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.253.503.504.0230.77%28.55%28.57%24.88%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Learner Tien (Хозяева): 73.21%; Sebastian Baez (Гости): 26.79%. Для исхода «Sebastian Baez (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.73. 6 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.02, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +7.71%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.28%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.72%EV +7.71%E +1.92%K +2.55%G +0.197% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 20:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.21%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79%EV +1.01%E +0.267%K +0.364%G +0.004% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 20:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +0.472%E +0.126%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 20:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.472%E +0.126%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.472%E +0.126%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.472%E +0.126%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -3.37%E -2.55%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV -0.064%E -0.017%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-16 20:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -2.21%E -0.605%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 09:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.21%E -0.605%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.37%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -3.28%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.37%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -3.28%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 09:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.55%E -0.985%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 09:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.55%E -0.985%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 20:02 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -4.08%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -4.08%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 20:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.24%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.76%EV -5.42%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 20:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 09:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 10:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 20:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 20:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 20:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 20:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -7.03%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 09:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.57%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 20:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.57%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 09:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.57%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 09:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 10:26 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 19:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.25%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.25%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.63%E -1.98%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.63%E -1.98%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.63%E -1.98%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.63%E -1.98%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 17:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.92%E -3.98%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 20:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.92%E -3.98%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 19:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -12.92%E -3.98%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-16 19:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -12.92%E -3.98%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-16 19:59 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.70% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.30% | 1.6% | 2026-08-16 20:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.98% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.02% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 20:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39% | 2.5% | 2026-08-16 20:10 |