Langue:Français
Learner Tien v Sebastian Baez
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Learner Tien (Local)
Prévision 73.21%1.37cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -1.98%
Kelly -7.98%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.27%73.27%73.22%76.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.301.301.3380.00%77.13%76.92%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Sebastian Baez (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.79%3.73cote équitable
EV +7.71%
Avantage +1.92%
Kelly +2.55%
Croissance +0.197%
avec la cote maximale 4.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.72%26.73%26.78%28.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.503.504.0230.77%28.55%28.57%24.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Learner Tien (Local) : 73.21% ; Sebastian Baez (Visiteur) : 26.79%. Pour Sebastian Baez (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.73. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.02, soit une espérance positive de +7.71%.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.28%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.72%EV +7.71%E +1.92%K +2.55%G +0.197% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 20:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.21%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79%EV +1.01%E +0.267%K +0.364%G +0.004% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 20:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +0.472%E +0.126%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 20:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.472%E +0.126%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.472%E +0.126%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.472%E +0.126%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -3.37%E -2.55%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV -0.064%E -0.017%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-16 20:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -2.21%E -0.605%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 09:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.21%E -0.605%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.37%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -3.28%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.37%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -3.28%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 09:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.55%E -0.985%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 09:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.55%E -0.985%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 20:02 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -4.08%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -4.08%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 20:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.24%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.76%EV -5.42%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 20:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 09:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 10:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 20:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 20:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 20:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 20:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -7.03%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 09:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.57%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 20:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.57%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 09:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.57%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 09:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 10:26 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 19:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.25%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.25%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.63%E -1.98%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.63%E -1.98%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.63%E -1.98%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.63%E -1.98%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 17:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.92%E -3.98%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 20:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.92%E -3.98%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 19:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -12.92%E -3.98%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-16 19:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -12.92%E -3.98%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-16 19:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.70% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.30% | 1.6% | 2026-08-16 20:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.98% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.02% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 20:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39% | 2.5% | 2026-08-16 20:10 |