Język:Polski
Learner Tien v Sebastian Baez
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Learner Tien (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 73.21%1.37kurs godziwy
EV -2.63%
Przewaga -1.98%
Kelly -7.98%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.33
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
71.27%73.27%73.22%76.28%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.251.301.301.3380.00%77.13%76.92%75.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Sebastian Baez (Goście)
Prognoza 26.79%3.73kurs godziwy
EV +7.71%
Przewaga +1.92%
Kelly +2.55%
Wzrost +0.197%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.02
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.72%26.73%26.78%28.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.253.503.504.0230.77%28.55%28.57%24.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Learner Tien (Gospodarze): 73.21%; Sebastian Baez (Goście): 26.79%. Dla wyniku Sebastian Baez (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.73. 6 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.02, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +7.71%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.28%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.72%EV +7.71%E +1.92%K +2.55%G +0.197% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 20:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.21%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79%EV +1.01%E +0.267%K +0.364%G +0.004% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 20:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +0.472%E +0.126%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 20:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.472%E +0.126%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.472%E +0.126%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.472%E +0.126%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -3.37%E -2.55%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV -0.064%E -0.017%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-16 20:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -2.21%E -0.605%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 09:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.21%E -0.605%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.37%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -3.28%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.37%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -3.28%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 09:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.55%E -0.985%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 09:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.55%E -0.985%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 20:02 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -4.08%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -4.08%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 20:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.24%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.76%EV -5.42%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 20:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 09:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 10:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 20:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 20:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 20:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 20:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -7.03%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 09:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.57%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 20:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.57%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 09:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.57%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 09:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 10:26 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 19:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.25%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.25%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.63%E -1.98%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.63%E -1.98%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.63%E -1.98%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.63%E -1.98%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 17:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.92%E -3.98%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 20:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.92%E -3.98%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 19:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -12.92%E -3.98%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-16 19:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -12.92%E -3.98%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-16 19:59 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.70% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.30% | 1.6% | 2026-08-16 20:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.98% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.02% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 20:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39% | 2.5% | 2026-08-16 20:10 |