Sprache:Deutsch
Learner Tien v Sebastian Baez
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Learner Tien (Heim)
Prognose 73.21%1.37faire Quote
EV -2.63%
Vorteil -1.98%
Kelly -7.98%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.33
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
71.27%73.27%73.22%76.28%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.251.301.301.3380.00%77.13%76.92%75.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Sebastian Baez (Auswärts)
Prognose 26.79%3.73faire Quote
EV +7.71%
Vorteil +1.92%
Kelly +2.55%
Wachstum +0.197%
bei einer Höchstquote von 4.02
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.72%26.73%26.78%28.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.253.503.504.0230.77%28.55%28.57%24.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Learner Tien (Heim): 73.21%; Sebastian Baez (Auswärts): 26.79%. Für Sebastian Baez (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.73. 6 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.02 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +7.71%.
Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.28%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.72%EV +7.71%E +1.92%K +2.55%G +0.197% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 20:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.21%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79%EV +1.01%E +0.267%K +0.364%G +0.004% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 20:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +0.472%E +0.126%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 20:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.472%E +0.126%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.472%E +0.126%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.472%E +0.126%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV -3.37%E -2.55%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV -0.064%E -0.017%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-16 20:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -2.21%E -0.605%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 09:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.21%E -0.605%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.37%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -3.28%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.37%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -3.28%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 09:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.55%E -0.985%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 09:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.55%E -0.985%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 20:02 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -4.08%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -4.08%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 20:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.24%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.76%EV -5.42%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 20:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 09:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 10:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 20:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 20:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 20:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 20:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -4.10%E -3.13%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -7.03%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 09:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.57%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 20:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.57%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 09:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.57%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 09:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 10:26 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 19:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.29%E -4.92%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.25%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.25%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.63%E -1.98%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.63%E -1.98%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.63%E -1.98%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.63%E -1.98%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.83%E -3.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 17:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.92%E -3.98%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 20:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.56%E -4.31%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.92%E -3.98%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 19:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -12.92%E -3.98%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-16 19:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -8.49%E -6.79%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -12.92%E -3.98%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-16 19:59 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 20:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.70% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.30% | 1.6% | 2026-08-16 20:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.98% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.02% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 20:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39% | 2.5% | 2026-08-16 20:10 |