預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Joao Fonseca v Christopher O'Connell

開賽時間: 2026-08-18 15:00 UTC

最終賽果: Joao Fonseca 0–0 Christopher O'Connell

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

64 家博彩公司 (21 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Joao Fonseca (主隊)

預測 78.97%1.27公平賠率
EV -2.87%
優勢 -2.33%
Kelly -12.48%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.23

博彩公司預測分布
76.63%79.08%78.95%81.04%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.171.201.201.2385.47%83.50%83.33%81.30%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Christopher O'Connell (客隊)

預測 21.03%4.75公平賠率
EV +6.21%
優勢 +1.23%
Kelly +1.53%
成長率 +0.095%

假設最高賠率為 5.05

博彩公司預測分布
18.96%20.92%21.05%23.37%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.004.504.505.0525.00%22.20%22.22%19.80%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Joao Fonseca (主隊):78.97%;Christopher O'Connell (客隊):21.03%。 對於「Christopher O'Connell (客隊)」,該估計相當於4.75的公平十進位賠率。 當時有9家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為5.05,對應+6.21%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (64 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.80%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.20%EV +6.21%E +1.23%K +1.53%G +0.095%3.1%2026-08-18 01:55
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.16%E +1.03%K +1.29%G +0.067%5.5%2026-08-18 02:49
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.45%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.55%EV +4.74%E +0.952%K +1.19%G +0.056%2.7%2026-08-18 04:05
Coolbet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +3.06%E +0.624%K +0.784%G +0.024%3.1%2026-08-18 01:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.06%E +0.624%K +0.784%G +0.024%3.7%2026-08-18 03:07
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.06%E +0.624%K +0.784%G +0.024%3.7%2026-08-17 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.06%E +0.624%K +0.784%G +0.024%3.7%2026-08-17 22:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +0.954%E +0.199%K +0.251%G +0.002%4.9%2026-08-18 03:07
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +0.954%E +0.199%K +0.251%G +0.002%6.3%2026-08-17 10:02
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 03:24
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 08:20
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 08:19
Casumo🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 08:19
TABtouch🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 08:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 08:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 08:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 08:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 08:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 08:19
Grosvenor🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 08:19
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 08:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 08:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 08:19
Bally Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 08:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -2.20%E -0.473%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 04:00
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 23:40
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -4.30%E -0.946%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 03:29
GTbets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.65%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.35%EV -4.72%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-17 09:30
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-18 03:24
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 02:39
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 03:09
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 02:59
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 02:59
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 10:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 02:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 02:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 08:19
BetAnything🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.41%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 02:59
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.46%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 03:08
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.46%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 03:08
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.46%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 03:10
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.46%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 21:50
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.51%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 03:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.93%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 03:14
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.93%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 03:09
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -8.93%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 05:33
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -8.93%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 05:33
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 03:08
Unibet (UK)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 03:08
Betclic (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 03:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 03:08
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 02:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 02:24
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 03:08
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-18 02:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.67%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 03:09
ReBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.67%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 03:08
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -12.72%E -3.06%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 02:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.77%E -3.36%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 03:10
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.77%E -3.36%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 03:10
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.87%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 02:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.87%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-18 02:37
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -15.87%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-18 02:38
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -15.87%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-18 02:38
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Matchbook◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-08-18 02:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-08-18 05:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-08-18 05:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-08-18 05:20
ProphetX◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.7%2026-08-18 05:35
Novig◎1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%3.6%2026-08-18 03:15
Smarkets◎1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%11.9%2026-08-18 03:09