Язык:Русский
Joao Fonseca v Christopher O'Connell
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Joao Fonseca (Хозяева)
Прогноз 78.97%1.27справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.87%
Преимущество -2.33%
Kelly -12.48%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.23
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
76.63%79.08%78.95%81.04%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.171.201.201.2385.47%83.50%83.33%81.30%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Christopher O'Connell (Гости)
Прогноз 21.03%4.75справедливый коэффициент
EV +6.21%
Преимущество +1.23%
Kelly +1.53%
Рост +0.095%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.05
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.96%20.92%21.05%23.37%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.504.505.0525.00%22.20%22.22%19.80%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Joao Fonseca (Хозяева): 78.97%; Christopher O'Connell (Гости): 21.03%. Для исхода «Christopher O'Connell (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.75. 9 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.05, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +6.21%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.80%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.20%EV +6.21%E +1.23%K +1.53%G +0.095% | 3.1% | 2026-08-18 01:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.16%E +1.03%K +1.29%G +0.067% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 02:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.45%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.55%EV +4.74%E +0.952%K +1.19%G +0.056% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 04:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +3.06%E +0.624%K +0.784%G +0.024% | 3.1% | 2026-08-18 01:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.06%E +0.624%K +0.784%G +0.024% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 03:07 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.06%E +0.624%K +0.784%G +0.024% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.06%E +0.624%K +0.784%G +0.024% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +0.954%E +0.199%K +0.251%G +0.002% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 03:07 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +0.954%E +0.199%K +0.251%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 10:02 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 03:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -2.20%E -0.473%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 04:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 23:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -4.30%E -0.946%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 03:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.65%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.35%EV -4.72%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-17 09:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-18 03:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 02:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 03:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 02:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 02:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 10:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 02:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 02:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.41%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 02:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.46%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.46%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.46%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 03:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.46%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 21:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.51%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.93%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 03:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.93%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 03:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -8.93%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 05:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -8.93%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 05:33 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 02:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 02:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 02:38 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.67%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 03:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.67%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -12.72%E -3.06%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 02:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.77%E -3.36%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 03:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.77%E -3.36%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 03:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.87%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 02:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.87%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 02:37 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -15.87%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-18 02:38 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -15.87%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-18 02:38 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 0.4% | 2026-08-18 02:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-18 05:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-18 05:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-18 05:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-08-18 05:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18% | 3.6% | 2026-08-18 03:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53% | 11.9% | 2026-08-18 03:09 |