Język:Polski
Joao Fonseca v Christopher O'Connell
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Joao Fonseca (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 78.97%1.27kurs godziwy
EV -2.87%
Przewaga -2.33%
Kelly -12.48%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.23
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
76.63%79.08%78.95%81.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.171.201.201.2385.47%83.50%83.33%81.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Christopher O'Connell (Goście)
Prognoza 21.03%4.75kurs godziwy
EV +6.21%
Przewaga +1.23%
Kelly +1.53%
Wzrost +0.095%
przy maksymalnym kursie 5.05
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.96%20.92%21.05%23.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.004.504.505.0525.00%22.20%22.22%19.80%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Joao Fonseca (Gospodarze): 78.97%; Christopher O'Connell (Goście): 21.03%. Dla wyniku Christopher O'Connell (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.75. 9 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 5.05, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +6.21%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.80%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.20%EV +6.21%E +1.23%K +1.53%G +0.095% | 3.1% | 2026-08-18 01:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.16%E +1.03%K +1.29%G +0.067% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 02:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.45%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.55%EV +4.74%E +0.952%K +1.19%G +0.056% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 04:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +3.06%E +0.624%K +0.784%G +0.024% | 3.1% | 2026-08-18 01:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.06%E +0.624%K +0.784%G +0.024% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 03:07 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.06%E +0.624%K +0.784%G +0.024% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.06%E +0.624%K +0.784%G +0.024% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +0.954%E +0.199%K +0.251%G +0.002% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 03:07 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +0.954%E +0.199%K +0.251%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 10:02 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 03:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -2.20%E -0.473%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 04:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 23:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -4.30%E -0.946%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 03:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.65%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.35%EV -4.72%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-17 09:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-18 03:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 02:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 03:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 02:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 02:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 10:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 02:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 02:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.41%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 02:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.46%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.46%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.46%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 03:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.46%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 21:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.51%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.93%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 03:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.93%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 03:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -8.93%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 05:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -8.93%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 05:33 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 02:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 02:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 02:38 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.67%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 03:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.67%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -12.72%E -3.06%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 02:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.77%E -3.36%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 03:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.77%E -3.36%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 03:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.87%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 02:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.87%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 02:37 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -15.87%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-18 02:38 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -15.87%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-18 02:38 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 0.4% | 2026-08-18 02:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-18 05:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-18 05:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-18 05:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-08-18 05:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18% | 3.6% | 2026-08-18 03:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53% | 11.9% | 2026-08-18 03:09 |