Sprache:Deutsch
Joao Fonseca v Christopher O'Connell
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Joao Fonseca (Heim)
Prognose 78.97%1.27faire Quote
EV -2.87%
Vorteil -2.33%
Kelly -12.48%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.23
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
76.63%79.08%78.95%81.04%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.171.201.201.2385.47%83.50%83.33%81.30%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Christopher O'Connell (Auswärts)
Prognose 21.03%4.75faire Quote
EV +6.21%
Vorteil +1.23%
Kelly +1.53%
Wachstum +0.095%
bei einer Höchstquote von 5.05
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
18.96%20.92%21.05%23.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.004.504.505.0525.00%22.20%22.22%19.80%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Joao Fonseca (Heim): 78.97%; Christopher O'Connell (Auswärts): 21.03%. Für Christopher O'Connell (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.75. 9 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.05 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +6.21%.
Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.80%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.20%EV +6.21%E +1.23%K +1.53%G +0.095% | 3.1% | 2026-08-18 01:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.16%E +1.03%K +1.29%G +0.067% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 02:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.45%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.55%EV +4.74%E +0.952%K +1.19%G +0.056% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 04:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +3.06%E +0.624%K +0.784%G +0.024% | 3.1% | 2026-08-18 01:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.06%E +0.624%K +0.784%G +0.024% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 03:07 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.06%E +0.624%K +0.784%G +0.024% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.06%E +0.624%K +0.784%G +0.024% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +0.954%E +0.199%K +0.251%G +0.002% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 03:07 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +0.954%E +0.199%K +0.251%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 10:02 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 03:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -2.20%E -0.473%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 04:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 23:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -4.30%E -0.946%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 03:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.65%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.35%EV -4.72%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-17 09:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-18 03:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 02:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 03:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 02:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 02:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 10:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 02:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 02:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.41%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 02:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.46%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.46%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.46%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 03:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.46%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 21:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.51%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.93%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 03:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.93%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 03:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -8.93%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 05:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -8.93%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 05:33 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 02:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 02:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 02:38 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.67%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 03:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.67%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -12.72%E -3.06%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 02:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.77%E -3.36%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 03:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.77%E -3.36%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 03:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.87%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 02:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.87%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 02:37 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -15.87%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-18 02:38 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -15.87%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-18 02:38 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 0.4% | 2026-08-18 02:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-18 05:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-18 05:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-18 05:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-08-18 05:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18% | 3.6% | 2026-08-18 03:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53% | 11.9% | 2026-08-18 03:09 |