语言:简体中文
Joao Fonseca v Christopher O'Connell
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Joao Fonseca (主队)
预测 78.97%1.27公平赔率
EV -2.87%
优势 -2.33%
Kelly -12.48%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.23
博彩公司预测分布
76.63%79.08%78.95%81.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.171.201.201.2385.47%83.50%83.33%81.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
Christopher O'Connell (客队)
预测 21.03%4.75公平赔率
EV +6.21%
优势 +1.23%
Kelly +1.53%
增长率 +0.095%
假设最高赔率为 5.05
博彩公司预测分布
18.96%20.92%21.05%23.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.504.505.0525.00%22.20%22.22%19.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Joao Fonseca (主队)：78.97%；Christopher O'Connell (客队)：21.03%。 对于“Christopher O'Connell (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.75。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.05，对应+6.21%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.80%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.20%EV +6.21%E +1.23%K +1.53%G +0.095% | 3.1% | 2026-08-18 01:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.16%E +1.03%K +1.29%G +0.067% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 02:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.45%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.55%EV +4.74%E +0.952%K +1.19%G +0.056% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 04:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +3.06%E +0.624%K +0.784%G +0.024% | 3.1% | 2026-08-18 01:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.06%E +0.624%K +0.784%G +0.024% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 03:07 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.06%E +0.624%K +0.784%G +0.024% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.06%E +0.624%K +0.784%G +0.024% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 22:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +0.954%E +0.199%K +0.251%G +0.002% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 03:07 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +0.954%E +0.199%K +0.251%G +0.002% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 10:02 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 03:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.15%E -0.244%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -2.20%E -0.473%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 04:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.25%E -0.707%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 23:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -4.30%E -0.946%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 03:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.65%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.35%EV -4.72%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-17 09:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-18 03:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 02:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 03:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 02:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 02:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 10:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 02:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 02:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.36%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-17 08:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.41%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 02:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.46%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.46%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.46%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 03:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.46%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 21:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.51%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.93%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 03:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.93%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 03:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -8.93%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 05:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -8.93%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 05:33 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -9.56%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 02:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 02:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -10.61%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 02:38 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.67%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 03:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.67%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 03:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -12.72%E -3.06%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 02:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.77%E -3.36%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 03:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.77%E -3.36%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 03:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.87%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 02:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.87%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 02:37 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -15.87%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-18 02:38 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -15.87%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-18 02:38 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 0.4% | 2026-08-18 02:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-18 05:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-18 05:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-18 05:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-08-18 05:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18% | 3.6% | 2026-08-18 03:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53% | 11.9% | 2026-08-18 03:09 |