Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jiri Lehecka v Arthur Fils

Kickoff: 2026-08-18 01:00 UTC

Final: Jiri Lehecka 1–2 Arthur Fils

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jiri Lehecka (Local)

Prediction 40.87%2.45fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.451%
Kelly -0.768%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.10%40.87%40.87%42.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.312.302.4244.44%43.30%43.48%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Fils (Visit)

Prediction 59.13%1.69fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -3.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.99%59.13%59.13%59.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.601.601.6564.52%62.31%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 40.87%; Arthur Fils (Visit): 59.13%. For Jiri Lehecka (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.42, with an expected value of -1.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.09%E -0.451%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-18 00:59
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.91%E -0.795%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.44%E -1.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-17 23:35
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.91%E -0.795%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 00:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.73%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-18 00:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.03%E -1.85%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-17 22:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 00:59
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 00:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 23:20
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 23:59
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 00:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.99%E -3.76%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 00:58
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.58%E -4.16%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 00:57
FanDuel🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.36%E -1.86%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 21:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 00:59
ReBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 00:59
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:20
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:20
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:20
GTbets🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -5.99%E -3.76%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:44
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.59%E -2.42%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 00:55
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.44%E -1.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 00:58
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 15:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 22:34
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 04:50
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 00:05
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 15:20
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 04:39
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 00:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 00:55
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.99%E -3.76%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 00:59
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.99%E -3.76%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 10:49
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 00:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.76%E -4.97%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 23:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 16:15
Betsson🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -6.40%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 22:34
NordicBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -6.40%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 22:34
SportsBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.81%E -2.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.58%E -4.16%K -11.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-17 21:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 09:09
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 00:24
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 22:35
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 22:35
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 04:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 04:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 18:04
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 00:40
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 23:25
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 23:30
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 18:04
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 18:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 04:40
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 04:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-08-18 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-08-18 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-08-18 00:20
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-08-18 00:55
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95%1.1%2026-08-18 00:55
ProphetX2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-08-18 00:55
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.0%2026-08-18 00:55