Idioma:Español
Jiri Lehecka v Arthur Fils
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Predicción 40.87%2.45momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.451%
Kelly -0.768%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.10%40.87%40.87%42.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.312.302.4244.44%43.30%43.48%41.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arthur Fils (Visitante)
Predicción 59.13%1.69momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -1.48%
Kelly -3.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.99%59.13%59.13%59.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.601.601.6564.52%62.31%62.50%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 40.87%; Arthur Fils (Visitante): 59.13%. Para Jiri Lehecka (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.45. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.42, con un valor esperado de -1.09%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.09%E -0.451%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-18 00:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.91%E -0.795%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.44%E -1.48%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-17 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.91%E -0.795%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 00:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.73%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-18 00:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.03%E -1.85%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-17 22:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 00:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 00:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 23:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 23:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.99%E -3.76%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 00:58 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.58%E -4.16%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 00:57 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.36%E -1.86%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-17 21:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 00:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 00:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 23:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 23:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 23:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 23:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 23:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 23:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 23:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 23:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 23:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 23:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 23:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 23:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 23:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 23:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -5.99%E -3.76%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.59%E -2.42%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.44%E -1.48%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-18 00:58 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 15:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 22:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 04:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 00:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 15:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 04:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 00:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.99%E -3.76%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 00:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.99%E -3.76%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 10:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-18 00:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.76%E -4.97%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 23:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -6.40%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 22:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -6.40%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 22:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.81%E -2.99%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.58%E -4.16%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-17 21:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 09:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 00:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 22:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 04:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 04:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-17 23:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-17 23:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-17 04:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-17 04:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 00:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 1.3% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.0% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |