Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jiri Lehecka v Arthur Fils

Início: 2026-08-18 01:00 UTC

Final: Jiri Lehecka 1–2 Arthur Fils

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jiri Lehecka (Local)

Previsão 40.87%2.45odd justa
EV -1.09%
Vantagem -0.451%
Kelly -0.768%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.10%40.87%40.87%42.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.312.302.4244.44%43.30%43.48%41.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arthur Fils (Visitante)

Previsão 59.13%1.69odd justa
EV -2.44%
Vantagem -1.48%
Kelly -3.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.99%59.13%59.13%59.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.601.601.6564.52%62.31%62.50%60.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 40.87%; Arthur Fils (Visitante): 59.13%. Para Jiri Lehecka (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.45. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.42, com valor esperado de -1.09%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.09%E -0.451%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-18 00:59
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.91%E -0.795%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.44%E -1.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-17 23:35
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.91%E -0.795%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 00:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.73%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-18 00:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.03%E -1.85%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-17 22:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 00:59
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 00:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 23:20
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 23:59
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 00:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.99%E -3.76%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 00:58
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.58%E -4.16%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 00:57
FanDuel🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.36%E -1.86%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 21:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 00:59
ReBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 00:59
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:20
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:20
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:20
GTbets🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -5.99%E -3.76%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:44
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.59%E -2.42%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 00:55
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.44%E -1.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 00:58
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 15:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 22:34
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 04:50
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 00:05
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 15:20
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 04:39
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 00:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 00:55
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.99%E -3.76%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 00:59
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.99%E -3.76%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 10:49
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 00:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.76%E -4.97%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 23:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 16:15
Betsson🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -6.40%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 22:34
NordicBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -6.40%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 22:34
SportsBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.81%E -2.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.58%E -4.16%K -11.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-17 21:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 09:09
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 00:24
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 22:35
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 22:35
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 04:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 04:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 18:04
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 00:40
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 23:25
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 23:30
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 18:04
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 18:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 04:40
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 04:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-08-18 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-08-18 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-08-18 00:20
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-08-18 00:55
Novig◎2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95%1.1%2026-08-18 00:55
ProphetX◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-08-18 00:55
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.0%2026-08-18 00:55