Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jiri Lehecka v Arthur Fils

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-18 01:00 UTC

Score final : Jiri Lehecka 1–2 Arthur Fils

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jiri Lehecka (Local)

Prévision 40.87%2.45cote équitable
EV -1.09%
Avantage -0.451%
Kelly -0.768%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.10%40.87%40.87%42.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.312.302.4244.44%43.30%43.48%41.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Arthur Fils (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.13%1.69cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -1.48%
Kelly -3.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.99%59.13%59.13%59.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.601.601.6564.52%62.31%62.50%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jiri Lehecka (Local) : 40.87% ; Arthur Fils (Visiteur) : 59.13%. Pour Jiri Lehecka (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.45. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.42, pour une espérance de -1.09% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.09%E -0.451%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-18 00:59
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.91%E -0.795%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.44%E -1.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-17 23:35
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.91%E -0.795%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 00:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.73%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-18 00:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.03%E -1.85%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-17 22:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 00:59
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 00:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 23:20
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 23:59
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 00:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.99%E -3.76%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 00:58
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.58%E -4.16%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 00:57
FanDuel🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.36%E -1.86%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 21:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 00:59
ReBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 00:59
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:20
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:20
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:20
GTbets🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -5.99%E -3.76%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:44
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.59%E -2.42%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 00:55
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.44%E -1.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 00:58
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 15:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 22:34
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 04:50
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 00:05
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 15:20
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 04:39
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 00:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 00:55
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.99%E -3.76%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 00:59
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.99%E -3.76%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 10:49
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 00:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.76%E -4.97%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 23:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.35%E -5.39%K -15.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 16:15
Betsson🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -6.40%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 22:34
NordicBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -6.40%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 22:34
SportsBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.81%E -2.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.58%E -4.16%K -11.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-17 21:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 09:09
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 00:24
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 22:35
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 22:35
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 04:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 04:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 18:04
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 00:40
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 23:25
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 23:30
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 18:04
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 18:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 04:40
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 04:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-08-18 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-08-18 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-08-18 00:20
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-08-18 00:55
Novig◎2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95%1.1%2026-08-18 00:55
ProphetX◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-08-18 00:55
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.0%2026-08-18 00:55