Language:English
Christopher O'Connell v Kamil Majchrzak
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Christopher O'Connell (Local)
Prediction 37.95%2.64fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.516%
Kelly -0.838%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.57%38.15%37.73%40.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.492.502.6043.48%40.24%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kamil Majchrzak (Visit)
Prediction 62.05%1.61fair odd
EV -0.093%
Edge -0.058%
Kelly -0.153%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.43%61.85%62.27%63.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.531.521.6168.03%65.37%65.79%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Christopher O'Connell (Local): 37.95%; Kamil Majchrzak (Visit): 62.05%. For Kamil Majchrzak (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.612. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.610, with an expected value of -0.093%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 07:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.44%E -2.88%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.68%E -3.74%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.68%E -3.74%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.68%E -3.74%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 14:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.78%E -5.97%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 07:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -4.38%E -1.74%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -6.30%E -4.17%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -4.76%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -1.95%E -1.24%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 18:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -4.76%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -1.95%E -1.24%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.33%E -0.839%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 18:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 10:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.78%E -5.97%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.56%EV -7.54%E -5.06%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 14:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.89%E -2.38%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 18:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -8.16%E -5.51%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -7.41%E -3.04%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -0.093%E -0.058%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.33%E -0.839%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.95%E -1.24%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 18:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 18:03 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.69%E -4.07%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 18:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.69%E -4.07%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -10.07%E -4.25%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -3.82%E -2.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -10.07%E -4.25%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -3.82%E -2.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -1.95%E -1.24%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.82%E -2.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -12.72%E -5.53%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -12.72%E -5.53%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -12.72%E -5.53%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -12.72%E -5.53%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 1.3% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26% | 2.0% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |