Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Christopher O'Connell v Kamil Majchrzak

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-14 18:33 UTC

Score final : Christopher O'Connell 2–0 Kamil Majchrzak

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Christopher O'Connell (Local)

Prévision 37.95%2.64cote équitable
EV -1.34%
Avantage -0.516%
Kelly -0.838%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.57%38.15%37.73%40.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.492.502.6043.48%40.24%40.00%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kamil Majchrzak (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.05%1.61cote équitable
EV -0.093%
Avantage -0.058%
Kelly -0.153%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.43%61.85%62.27%63.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.471.531.521.6168.03%65.37%65.79%62.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Christopher O'Connell (Local) : 37.95% ; Kamil Majchrzak (Visiteur) : 62.05%. Pour Kamil Majchrzak (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.612. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.610, pour une espérance de -0.093% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:25
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:24
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:25
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:25
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:25
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:25
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:24
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 07:49
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 18:00
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.44%E -2.88%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.68%E -3.74%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.68%E -3.74%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 18:30
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.68%E -3.74%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 14:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.78%E -5.97%K -18.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 07:50
DraftKings🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -4.38%E -1.74%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -6.30%E -4.17%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -4.76%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -1.95%E -1.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-14 18:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -4.76%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -1.95%E -1.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-14 18:05
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.33%E -0.839%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 18:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 18:04
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 17:25
NordicBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:29
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:29
Betsson🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:29
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 14:54
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 10:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.78%E -5.97%K -18.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 18:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 18:29
SportsBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.56%EV -7.54%E -5.06%K -15.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 14:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.89%E -2.38%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 18:29
ReBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 18:05
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -8.16%E -5.51%K -17.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 18:29
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -7.41%E -3.04%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -0.093%E -0.058%K -0.153%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-14 18:25
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.33%E -0.839%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 18:29
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.95%E -1.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 18:30
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 18:04
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 18:03
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.69%E -4.07%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 18:09
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.69%E -4.07%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -10.07%E -4.25%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -3.82%E -2.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:30
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -10.07%E -4.25%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -3.82%E -2.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:30
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -1.95%E -1.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 18:30
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 18:29
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.82%E -2.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 18:25
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 18:30
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -12.72%E -5.53%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 18:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -12.72%E -5.53%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 18:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -12.72%E -5.53%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 18:30
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -12.72%E -5.53%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 18:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%0.2%2026-08-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%0.2%2026-08-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%0.2%2026-08-14 18:30
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-08-14 18:30
ProphetX◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-08-14 18:30
Novig◎2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%2.0%2026-08-14 18:29