语言:简体中文
Christopher O'Connell v Kamil Majchrzak
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Christopher O'Connell (主队)
预测 37.95%2.64公平赔率
EV -1.34%
优势 -0.516%
Kelly -0.838%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.60
博彩公司预测分布
36.57%38.15%37.73%40.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.492.502.6043.48%40.24%40.00%38.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
Kamil Majchrzak (客队)
预测 62.05%1.61公平赔率
EV -0.093%
优势 -0.058%
Kelly -0.153%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.61
博彩公司预测分布
59.43%61.85%62.27%63.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.471.531.521.6168.03%65.37%65.79%62.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Christopher O'Connell (主队)：37.95%；Kamil Majchrzak (客队)：62.05%。 对于“Kamil Majchrzak (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.612。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.610，期望值为-0.093%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 07:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.44%E -2.88%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.68%E -3.74%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.68%E -3.74%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.68%E -3.74%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 14:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.78%E -5.97%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 07:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -4.38%E -1.74%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -6.30%E -4.17%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -4.76%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -1.95%E -1.24%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 18:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -4.76%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -1.95%E -1.24%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.33%E -0.839%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 18:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 10:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.78%E -5.97%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.56%EV -7.54%E -5.06%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 14:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.89%E -2.38%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 18:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -8.16%E -5.51%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -7.41%E -3.04%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -0.093%E -0.058%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.33%E -0.839%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.95%E -1.24%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 18:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 18:03 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.69%E -4.07%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 18:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.69%E -4.07%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -10.07%E -4.25%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -3.82%E -2.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -10.07%E -4.25%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -3.82%E -2.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -1.95%E -1.24%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.82%E -2.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -12.72%E -5.53%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -12.72%E -5.53%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -12.72%E -5.53%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -12.72%E -5.53%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 1.3% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26% | 2.0% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |