Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Christopher O'Connell v Kamil Majchrzak

Início: 2026-08-14 18:33 UTC

Final: Christopher O'Connell 2–0 Kamil Majchrzak

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Christopher O'Connell (Local)

Previsão 37.95%2.64odd justa
EV -1.34%
Vantagem -0.516%
Kelly -0.838%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.57%38.15%37.73%40.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.492.502.6043.48%40.24%40.00%38.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kamil Majchrzak (Visitante)

Previsão 62.05%1.61odd justa
EV -0.093%
Vantagem -0.058%
Kelly -0.153%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.43%61.85%62.27%63.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.471.531.521.6168.03%65.37%65.79%62.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Christopher O'Connell (Local): 37.95%; Kamil Majchrzak (Visitante): 62.05%. Para Kamil Majchrzak (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.612. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.610, com valor esperado de -0.093%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:25
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:24
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:25
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:25
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:25
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:25
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:24
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.34%E -0.516%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 07:49
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 18:00
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.44%E -2.88%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.68%E -3.74%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.68%E -3.74%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 18:30
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.68%E -3.74%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 14:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.78%E -5.97%K -18.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 07:50
DraftKings🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -4.38%E -1.74%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -6.30%E -4.17%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -4.76%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -1.95%E -1.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-14 18:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -4.76%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -1.95%E -1.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-14 18:05
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.33%E -0.839%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 18:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 18:04
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 17:25
NordicBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:29
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:29
Betsson🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:29
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 14:54
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 10:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.78%E -5.97%K -18.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 18:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 18:29
SportsBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.56%EV -7.54%E -5.06%K -15.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 14:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.89%E -2.38%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 18:29
ReBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 18:05
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -8.16%E -5.51%K -17.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 18:29
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -7.41%E -3.04%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -0.093%E -0.058%K -0.153%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-14 18:25
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.33%E -0.839%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 18:29
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.95%E -1.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 18:30
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 18:04
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 18:03
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.69%E -4.07%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 18:09
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.69%E -4.07%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -10.07%E -4.25%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -3.82%E -2.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:30
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -10.07%E -4.25%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -3.82%E -2.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:30
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -1.95%E -1.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 18:30
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 18:29
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.82%E -2.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 18:25
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 18:30
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -12.72%E -5.53%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 18:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -12.72%E -5.53%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 18:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -12.72%E -5.53%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 18:30
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -12.72%E -5.53%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.58%E -1.64%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 18:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%0.2%2026-08-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%0.2%2026-08-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%0.2%2026-08-14 18:30
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-08-14 18:30
ProphetX◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-08-14 18:30
Novig◎2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%2.0%2026-08-14 18:29