Language:English
Christopher O'Connell v Casper Ruud
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Christopher O'Connell (Local)
Prediction 25.57%3.91fair odd
EV +7.66%
Edge +1.82%
Kelly +2.39%
Growth +0.183%
assuming max odds 4.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.61%25.55%25.60%29.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.663.714.2130.77%27.32%26.95%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Casper Ruud (Visit)
Prediction 74.43%1.34fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.760%
Kelly -3.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.96%74.45%74.40%77.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.281.271.3381.97%78.35%78.74%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Christopher O'Connell (Local): 25.57%; Casper Ruud (Visit): 74.43%. For Christopher O'Connell (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.61%EV +7.66%E +1.82%K +2.39%G +0.183% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.39%EV -8.45%E -6.87%K -36.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.29%E +0.572%K +0.763%G +0.017% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.22%E -4.94%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.29%E +0.572%K +0.763%G +0.017% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.22%E -4.94%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.29%E +0.572%K +0.763%G +0.017% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +2.29%E +0.572%K +0.763%G +0.017% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.20%E -7.54%K -41.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -0.269%E -0.069%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -0.269%E -0.069%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -0.269%E -0.069%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -1.55%E -0.402%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 12:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -1.55%E -0.402%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.22%E -4.94%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -2.50%E -1.91%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 12:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.20%E -7.54%K -41.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.20%E -7.54%K -41.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -4.36%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -5.90%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 12:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -5.90%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -6.41%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -1.76%E -1.33%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.66%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.66%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 14:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 10:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 08:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.22%E -4.94%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.45%E -6.87%K -36.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -8.71%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 12:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -9.73%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -2.50%E -1.91%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 09:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.73%E -3.70%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 08:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.73%E -3.70%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 08:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.78%E -3.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.73%E -3.70%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 10:26 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -14.33%E -4.28%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -2.50%E -1.91%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -14.33%E -4.28%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 08:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -14.33%E -4.28%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 08:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.61%E -4.73%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 14:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -16.89%E -5.20%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.01%E -0.760%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 14:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -16.89%E -5.20%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 14:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.76% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.24% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |