Langue:Français
Christopher O'Connell v Casper Ruud
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Christopher O'Connell (Local)
Prévision 25.57%3.91cote équitable
EV +7.66%
Avantage +1.82%
Kelly +2.39%
Croissance +0.183%
avec la cote maximale 4.21
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.61%25.55%25.60%29.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.663.714.2130.77%27.32%26.95%23.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Casper Ruud (Visiteur)
Prévision 74.43%1.34cote équitable
EV -1.01%
Avantage -0.760%
Kelly -3.06%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.96%74.45%74.40%77.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.281.271.3381.97%78.35%78.74%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Christopher O'Connell (Local) : 25.57% ; Casper Ruud (Visiteur) : 74.43%. Pour Christopher O'Connell (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.91. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.21, soit une espérance positive de +7.66%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.61%EV +7.66%E +1.82%K +2.39%G +0.183% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.39%EV -8.45%E -6.87%K -36.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.29%E +0.572%K +0.763%G +0.017% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.22%E -4.94%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.29%E +0.572%K +0.763%G +0.017% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.22%E -4.94%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.29%E +0.572%K +0.763%G +0.017% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +2.29%E +0.572%K +0.763%G +0.017% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.20%E -7.54%K -41.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -0.269%E -0.069%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -0.269%E -0.069%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -0.269%E -0.069%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -1.55%E -0.402%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 12:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -1.55%E -0.402%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.22%E -4.94%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -2.50%E -1.91%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 12:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.20%E -7.54%K -41.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.20%E -7.54%K -41.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -4.36%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -5.90%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 12:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -5.90%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -6.41%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -1.76%E -1.33%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.66%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.66%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 14:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 10:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 08:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.22%E -4.94%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.45%E -6.87%K -36.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -8.71%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 12:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -9.73%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -2.50%E -1.91%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 09:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.73%E -3.70%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 08:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.73%E -3.70%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 08:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.78%E -3.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.73%E -3.70%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 10:26 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -14.33%E -4.28%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -2.50%E -1.91%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -14.33%E -4.28%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 08:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -14.33%E -4.28%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 08:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.61%E -4.73%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 14:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -16.89%E -5.20%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.01%E -0.760%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 14:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -16.89%E -5.20%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 14:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.76% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.24% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |