Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Christopher O'Connell v Casper Ruud

Início: 2026-08-16 15:04 UTC

Final: Christopher O'Connell 1–0 Casper Ruud

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Christopher O'Connell (Local)

Previsão 25.57%3.91odd justa
EV +7.66%
Vantagem +1.82%
Kelly +2.39%
Crescimento +0.183%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.61%25.55%25.60%29.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.663.714.2130.77%27.32%26.95%23.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Casper Ruud (Visitante)

Previsão 74.43%1.34odd justa
EV -1.01%
Vantagem -0.760%
Kelly -3.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.96%74.45%74.40%77.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.221.281.271.3381.97%78.35%78.74%75.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Christopher O'Connell (Local): 25.57%; Casper Ruud (Visitante): 74.43%. Para Christopher O'Connell (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.91. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.21, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.66%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯4.21I 23.75%NM 22.61%EV +7.66%E +1.82%K +2.39%G +0.183%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.39%EV -8.45%E -6.87%K -36.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.29%E +0.572%K +0.763%G +0.017%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.22%E -4.94%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 14:59
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.29%E +0.572%K +0.763%G +0.017%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.22%E -4.94%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.29%E +0.572%K +0.763%G +0.017%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 14:59
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +2.29%E +0.572%K +0.763%G +0.017%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.20%E -7.54%K -41.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 15:00
Fanatics🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -0.269%E -0.069%K -0.093%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 14:54
Betsson🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -0.269%E -0.069%K -0.093%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 14:59
NordicBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -0.269%E -0.069%K -0.093%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 15:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -1.55%E -0.402%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 12:59
theScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -1.55%E -0.402%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.22%E -4.94%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 14:59
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -2.50%E -1.91%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 12:05
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 14:54
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 14:59
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:39
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:40
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:40
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:40
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:40
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:39
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:44
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:44
Bally Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 06:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 15:00
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.20%E -7.54%K -41.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 15:00
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.20%E -7.54%K -41.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -4.36%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 14:59
LowVig.ag🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -5.90%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 12:15
BetOnline.ag🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -5.90%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 12:14
Pinnacle🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -6.41%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -1.76%E -1.33%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 14:59
Unibet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.66%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 12:14
ReBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.66%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 14:04
GTbets🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 10:30
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 08:10
Fliff🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.22%E -4.94%K -23.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 06:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.45%E -6.87%K -36.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 15:00
BetAnything🎯3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -8.71%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 12:30
1xBet🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -9.73%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -2.50%E -1.91%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 14:50
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 09:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 12:04
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 12:04
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 12:04
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 12:04
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 14:49
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 08:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.73%E -3.70%K -16.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 08:10
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.73%E -3.70%K -16.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 08:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 21:15
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.78%E -3.41%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.73%E -3.70%K -16.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 15:00
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 14:44
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 10:26
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -14.33%E -4.28%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -2.50%E -1.91%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -14.33%E -4.28%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 08:10
Neds🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -14.33%E -4.28%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 08:09
TAB🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.61%E -4.73%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 14:58
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -16.89%E -5.20%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.01%E -0.760%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 14:35
Bet Victor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -16.89%E -5.20%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 14:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-08-16 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-08-16 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-08-16 14:45
Matchbook◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-08-16 15:00
ProphetX◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%1.4%2026-08-16 15:00
Novig◎3.92I 25.51%NM 24.76%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.24%3.0%2026-08-16 15:00
Smarkets◎3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%3.2%2026-08-16 15:00