Idioma:Español
Christopher O'Connell v Casper Ruud
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Christopher O'Connell (Local)
Predicción 25.57%3.91momio equitativo
EV +7.66%
Ventaja +1.82%
Kelly +2.39%
Crecimiento +0.183%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.61%25.55%25.60%29.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.663.714.2130.77%27.32%26.95%23.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Casper Ruud (Visitante)
Predicción 74.43%1.34momio equitativo
EV -1.01%
Ventaja -0.760%
Kelly -3.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.96%74.45%74.40%77.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.281.271.3381.97%78.35%78.74%75.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Christopher O'Connell (Local): 25.57%; Casper Ruud (Visitante): 74.43%. Para Christopher O'Connell (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.91. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.21, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.66%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.61%EV +7.66%E +1.82%K +2.39%G +0.183% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.39%EV -8.45%E -6.87%K -36.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.29%E +0.572%K +0.763%G +0.017% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.22%E -4.94%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.29%E +0.572%K +0.763%G +0.017% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.22%E -4.94%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.29%E +0.572%K +0.763%G +0.017% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +2.29%E +0.572%K +0.763%G +0.017% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.20%E -7.54%K -41.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -0.269%E -0.069%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -0.269%E -0.069%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -0.269%E -0.069%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -1.55%E -0.402%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 12:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -1.55%E -0.402%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.22%E -4.94%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -2.50%E -1.91%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 12:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 06:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.20%E -7.54%K -41.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.20%E -7.54%K -41.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -4.36%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -5.90%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 12:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -5.90%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -6.41%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -1.76%E -1.33%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.66%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.66%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 14:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -6.92%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 10:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 08:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.22%E -4.94%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 06:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.96%E -5.57%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.45%E -6.87%K -36.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -8.71%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 12:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -9.73%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -2.50%E -1.91%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 09:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.73%E -3.70%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 08:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.73%E -3.70%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 08:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.48%E -4.31%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.78%E -3.41%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.73%E -3.70%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 10:26 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -14.33%E -4.28%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -2.50%E -1.91%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -14.33%E -4.28%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 08:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -14.33%E -4.28%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 08:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.61%E -4.73%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.24%E -2.50%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 14:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -16.89%E -5.20%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.01%E -0.760%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 14:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -16.89%E -5.20%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -3.99%E -3.09%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 14:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.76% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.24% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |