Language:English
Arthur Fery v Alex de Minaur
Head to Head
Arthur Fery (Local)
Prediction 21.93%4.56fair odd
EV +4.17%
Edge +0.878%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.046%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.44%21.96%21.82%23.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.344.404.7526.67%23.03%22.73%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alex de Minaur (Visit)
Prediction 78.07%1.28fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -3.23%
Kelly -17.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.22%78.04%78.18%79.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.201.201.2385.47%83.18%83.33%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Arthur Fery (Local): 21.93%; Alex de Minaur (Visit): 78.07%. For Arthur Fery (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.56. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.75, producing a positive expected value of +4.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +4.17%E +0.878%K +1.11%G +0.046% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.81%EV +2.63%E +0.563%K +0.716%G +0.019% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.19%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-16 04:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.12%EV -0.874%E -0.193%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.88%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 04:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 05:43 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 04:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 04:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 04:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 05:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.51%E -0.797%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.51%E -0.797%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 04:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.51%E -0.797%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 04:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.51%E -0.797%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 04:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -4.60%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -5.04%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 04:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.04%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 04:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.70%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.70%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.88%E -6.68%K -43.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 05:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.80%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 04:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.80%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 04:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 06:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.88%E -6.68%K -43.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.28%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.28%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -13.37%E -3.39%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.00%EV -7.88%E -6.68%K -43.77%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 04:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -13.37%E -3.39%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.00%EV -7.88%E -6.68%K -43.77%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%EV -15.57%E -4.04%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.69%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-16 04:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -17.76%E -4.74%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 04:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.26% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.74% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 05:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15% | 10.5% | 2026-08-16 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 07:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.37% | 12.9% | 2026-08-16 04:45 |
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