Langue:Français
Arthur Fery v Alex de Minaur
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Arthur Fery (Local)
Prévision 21.35%4.68cote équitable
EV +1.43%
Avantage +0.301%
Kelly +0.382%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 4.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.03%21.46%21.33%24.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.424.504.7526.32%22.63%22.22%21.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Alex de Minaur (Visiteur)
Prévision 78.65%1.27cote équitable
EV -1.69%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -6.77%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.25%78.54%78.67%79.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.171.211.201.2585.47%82.95%83.33%80.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Arthur Fery (Local) : 21.35% ; Alex de Minaur (Visiteur) : 78.65%. Pour Arthur Fery (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.68. 17 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.75, soit une espérance positive de +1.43%.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.43%E +0.301%K +0.382%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +1.43%E +0.301%K +0.382%G +0.005% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-17 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.85%EV -0.277%E -0.059%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.15%EV -3.27%E -2.65%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-17 15:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -0.704%E -0.151%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -5.62%E -4.69%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.77%E -0.385%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.84%E -4.00%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-17 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.77%E -0.385%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.62%E -4.69%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.77%E -0.385%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-17 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.93%EV -2.41%E -0.528%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.07%EV -4.84%E -4.00%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-17 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.91%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 15:18 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.91%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.91%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.91%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.91%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.84%E -4.00%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 17:38 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.91%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.69%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 17:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.91%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-17 16:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.91%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-17 16:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -4.97%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.84%E -4.00%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 16:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -4.97%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.84%E -4.00%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 17:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -4.97%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.84%E -4.00%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 16:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.04%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.62%E -4.69%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 17:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.04%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.62%E -4.69%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.04%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-17 14:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -7.54%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 04:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.54%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.62%E -4.69%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 15:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -8.18%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.27%E -2.65%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 16:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.18%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.18%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.84%E -4.00%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.18%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.62%E -4.69%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 21:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.25%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 06:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.25%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.84%E -4.00%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 06:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -9.25%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-17 17:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.31%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 14:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.31%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.31%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.31%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.31%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.62%E -4.69%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 10:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -11.38%E -2.74%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -5.62%E -4.69%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 17:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -12.45%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 06:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -14.58%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.48%E -2.00%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.58%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 06:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.58%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 06:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.58%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.62%E -4.69%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 15:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.58%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.62%E -4.69%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 15:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -18.85%E -4.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -1.69%E -1.35%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 06:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -18.85%E -4.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -1.69%E -1.35%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 06:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -18.85%E -4.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -2.48%E -2.00%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 16:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.93% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.07% | 0.4% | 2026-08-17 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-08-17 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-08-17 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 17:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 2.0% | 2026-08-17 17:55 |