默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Arthur Fery v Alex de Minaur

2026-08-17 15:00 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

胜负盘

42 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

22%

78%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Arthur Fery (主队)

预测 21.93%4.56公平赔率

EV +4.17%

优势 +0.878%

Kelly +1.11%

增长率 +0.046%

假设最高赔率为 4.75

博彩公司预测分布

20.44%21.96%21.82%23.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.754.344.404.7526.67%23.03%22.73%21.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

Alex de Minaur (客队)

预测 78.07%1.28公平赔率

EV -3.97%

优势 -3.23%

Kelly -17.28%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.23

博彩公司预测分布

76.22%78.04%78.18%79.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.171.201.201.2385.47%83.18%83.33%81.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Arthur Fery (主队)：21.93%；Alex de Minaur (客队)：78.07%。对于“Arthur Fery (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.56。有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为4.75，由此产生+4.17%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (42 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Coolbet🎯	4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +4.17%E +0.878%K +1.11%G +0.046%	1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.61%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-16 04:44
1xBet🎯	4.68I 21.37%NM 20.81%EV +2.63%E +0.563%K +0.716%G +0.019%	1.23I 81.30%NM 79.19%EV -3.97%E -3.23%K -17.28%G +0.000%	2.7%	2026-08-16 04:48
DraftKings🎯	4.52I 22.12%NM 21.12%EV -0.874%E -0.193%K -0.248%G +0.000%	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.88%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.36%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-16 04:45
Bovada🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.61%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-16 05:43
Unibet🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-16 04:44
LiveScore Bet🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-16 04:44
BetRivers🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-16 04:44
Casumo🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-16 04:44
TABtouch🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-16 04:45
Virgin Bet🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-16 04:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-16 04:45
Unibet (SE)🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-16 04:44
Unibet (NL)🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-16 04:44
Grosvenor🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-16 04:45
Bally Bet🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-16 04:44
betPARX🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-16 04:44
ATG (SE)🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-16 04:44
Svenska Spel🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-16 04:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-16 05:05
Marathon Bet🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.51%E -0.797%K -1.03%G +0.000%	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.36%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-16 04:44
Winamax (DE)🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.51%E -0.797%K -1.03%G +0.000%	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.36%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-16 04:45
Betr (AU)🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.51%E -0.797%K -1.03%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-16 04:45
PlayUp🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.51%E -0.797%K -1.03%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-16 04:50
Fanatics🎯	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -4.60%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.36%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-16 04:44
GTbets🎯	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -5.04%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.61%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-16 04:45
betfred_uk🎯	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.04%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-16 04:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.70%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-16 04:44
Tipico (DE)🎯	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.70%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.88%E -6.68%K -43.77%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-16 05:14
Betway🎯	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.80%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.61%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-16 04:45
theScore Bet🎯	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.80%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-16 04:44
888sport🎯	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.61%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-16 04:45
William Hill🎯	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.61%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-16 04:44
888sport (SE)🎯	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.61%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-16 04:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.61%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-16 04:44
TAB🎯	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-16 06:54
LeoVegas🎯	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.88%E -6.68%K -43.77%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-08-16 04:44
Bet Victor🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.28%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-16 04:44
betano_uk🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.28%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.58%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-16 04:44
Betclic (FR)🎯	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -13.37%E -3.39%K -4.53%G +0.000%	1.18I 84.75%NM 77.00%EV -7.88%E -6.68%K -43.77%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-08-16 04:45
ReBet🎯	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -13.37%E -3.39%K -4.53%G +0.000%	1.18I 84.75%NM 77.00%EV -7.88%E -6.68%K -43.77%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-08-16 04:44
Winamax (FR)🎯	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%EV -15.57%E -4.04%K -5.46%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 76.69%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.93%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-08-16 04:45
Unibet (FR)🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -17.76%E -4.74%K -6.46%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -8.66%E -7.40%K -50.93%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-08-16 04:45

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Novig◎	4.26I 23.47%NM 22.26%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.74%	5.4%	2026-08-16 05:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%	1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%	9.4%	2026-08-16 07:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%	1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%	9.4%	2026-08-16 07:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%	1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%	9.4%	2026-08-16 08:00
Smarkets◎	3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%	1.16I 86.21%NM 76.37%	12.9%	2026-08-16 04:45
ProphetX◎	3.05I 32.79%NM 25.97%	1.07I 93.46%NM 74.03%	26.2%	2026-08-16 07:55

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