Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Arthur Fery v Alex de Minaur

Inizio: 2026-08-17 18:00 UTC

Finale: Arthur Fery 0–2 Alex de Minaur

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Arthur Fery (Casa)

Previsione 21.35%4.68quota equa
EV +1.43%
Vantaggio +0.301%
Kelly +0.382%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.03%21.46%21.33%24.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.424.504.7526.32%22.63%22.22%21.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alex de Minaur (Trasferta)

Previsione 78.65%1.27quota equa
EV -1.69%
Vantaggio -1.35%
Kelly -6.77%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.25%78.54%78.67%79.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.171.211.201.2585.47%82.95%83.33%80.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Arthur Fery (Casa): 21.35%; Alex de Minaur (Trasferta): 78.65%. Per Arthur Fery (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.68. 17 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.75, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.43%.

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.43%E +0.301%K +0.382%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-17 17:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +1.43%E +0.301%K +0.382%G +0.005%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-17 17:50
Unibet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 17:40
BetRivers🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 17:40
Casumo🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 17:40
TABtouch🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 17:40
Grosvenor🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 17:40
Bally Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 17:39
betPARX🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 17:39
Svenska Spel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.364%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.41%E -5.39%K -33.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 17:40
Pinnacle🎯4.67I 21.41%NM 20.85%EV -0.277%E -0.059%K -0.075%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.15%EV -3.27%E -2.65%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-17 15:20
FanDuel🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -0.704%E -0.151%K -0.193%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -5.62%E -4.69%K -28.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.77%E -0.385%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.84%E -4.00%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-17 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.77%E -0.385%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.62%E -4.69%K -28.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 17:55
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.77%E -0.385%K -0.492%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-17 16:40
1xBet🎯4.57I 21.88%NM 20.93%EV -2.41%E -0.528%K -0.676%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.07%EV -4.84%E -4.00%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 17:55
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.91%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 15:18
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.91%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 17:39
BetOnline.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.91%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.91%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.91%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.84%E -4.00%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 17:38
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.91%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.62%E -4.69%K -28.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 17:50
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.91%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 16:39
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.91%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 16:39
Unibet (FR)🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -4.97%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.84%E -4.00%K -23.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 16:39
DraftKings🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -4.97%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.84%E -4.00%K -23.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 17:50
ReBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -4.97%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.84%E -4.00%K -23.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 16:39
Betsson🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.04%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.62%E -4.69%K -28.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 17:50
NordicBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.04%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.62%E -4.69%K -28.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.04%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-17 14:15
GTbets🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -7.54%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 04:45
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.54%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.62%E -4.69%K -28.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 15:20
BetUS🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -8.18%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.27%E -2.65%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 16:09
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.18%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.18%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.84%E -4.00%K -23.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 17:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.18%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.62%E -4.69%K -28.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 21:34
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.25%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 06:54
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.25%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.84%E -4.00%K -23.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 06:44
Fliff🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -9.25%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -7.98%E -6.82%K -46.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 17:54
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.31%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 14:34
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.31%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.31%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.31%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 14:35
Caesars🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.31%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.62%E -4.69%K -28.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 10:49
LeoVegas🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -11.38%E -2.74%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -5.62%E -4.69%K -28.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 17:54
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -12.45%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 06:54
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -14.58%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.48%E -2.00%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.58%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 06:50
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.58%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.05%E -3.32%K -18.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 06:54
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.58%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.62%E -4.69%K -28.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 15:23
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.58%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.62%E -4.69%K -28.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 15:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -18.85%E -4.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -1.69%E -1.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 06:49
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -18.85%E -4.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -1.69%E -1.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 06:54
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -18.85%E -4.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -2.48%E -2.00%K -10.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 16:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig◎4.76I 21.01%NM 20.93%1.26I 79.37%NM 79.07%0.4%2026-08-17 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-08-17 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-08-17 17:55
Smarkets◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-08-17 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-08-17 17:55
Matchbook◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-08-17 17:55
ProphetX◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45%2.0%2026-08-17 17:55