StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Andrey Rublev v Pablo Carreno Busta

Matchstart: 2026-08-16 19:24 UTC

Slutresultat: Andrey Rublev 2–0 Pablo Carreno Busta

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Andrey Rublev (Hemma)

Prognos 66.82%1.50rättvist odds
EV -1.77%
Fördel -1.21%
Kelly -3.77%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.47

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
64.63%66.82%66.67%68.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.361.421.421.4773.53%70.53%70.42%68.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Pablo Carreno Busta (Borta)

Prognos 33.18%3.01rättvist odds
EV +0.200%
Fördel +0.066%
Kelly +0.099%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.02

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.48%33.18%33.33%35.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.602.852.853.0238.46%35.04%35.09%33.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Andrey Rublev (Hemma): 66.82%; Pablo Carreno Busta (Borta): 33.18%. För Pablo Carreno Busta (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.01. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.02, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.200%.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV +0.200%E +0.066%K +0.099%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 19:14
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.79%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.21%EV -0.132%E -0.044%K -0.066%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.464%E -0.155%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.464%E -0.155%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 19:00
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.464%E -0.155%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 18:59
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.79%E -5.64%K -20.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.464%E -0.155%K -0.232%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 18:19
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.34%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.48%EV -1.79%E -0.605%K -0.914%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 19:15
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.11%E -2.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.12%E -0.720%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 19:15
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -2.45%E -0.835%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 19:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.11%E -2.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 19:15
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 19:09
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:15
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 16:40
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:14
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.78%E -2.62%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 16:44
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 19:14
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 19:15
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 16:39
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 16:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.78%E -2.62%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.78%E -2.62%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 19:15
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.78%E -2.62%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 17:45
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.78%E -4.10%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 16:50
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -1.77%E -1.21%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -6.10%E -2.16%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 08:14
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.11%E -2.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 19:23
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 14:45
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 19:15
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 19:14
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 19:15
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 18:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 08:14
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:18
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.44%E -1.67%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -8.09%E -2.92%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 19:13
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 16:39
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 16:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 16:49
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 19:15
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 16:38
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 16:39
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.11%E -2.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -12.08%E -4.56%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 10:26
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -13.74%E -5.28%K -8.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 19:23
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-16 19:00
Matchbook◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-16 19:05
ProphetX◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-16 19:15
Novig◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.06%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.94%2.0%2026-08-16 19:05
Smarkets◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%2.7%2026-08-16 19:00