StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Andrey Rublev v Pablo Carreno Busta

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-16 19:24 UTC

Endstand: Andrey Rublev 2–0 Pablo Carreno Busta

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Andrey Rublev (Heim)

Prognose 66.82%1.50faire Quote
EV -1.77%
Vorteil -1.21%
Kelly -3.77%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.47

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
64.63%66.82%66.67%68.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.361.421.421.4773.53%70.53%70.42%68.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Pablo Carreno Busta (Auswärts)

Prognose 33.18%3.01faire Quote
EV +0.200%
Vorteil +0.066%
Kelly +0.099%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.02

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
31.48%33.18%33.33%35.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.602.852.853.0238.46%35.04%35.09%33.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Andrey Rublev (Heim): 66.82%; Pablo Carreno Busta (Auswärts): 33.18%. Für Pablo Carreno Busta (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.01. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.02 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.200%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV +0.200%E +0.066%K +0.099%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 19:14
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.79%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.21%EV -0.132%E -0.044%K -0.066%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.464%E -0.155%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.464%E -0.155%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 19:00
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.464%E -0.155%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 18:59
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.79%E -5.64%K -20.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.464%E -0.155%K -0.232%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 18:19
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.34%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.48%EV -1.79%E -0.605%K -0.914%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 19:15
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.11%E -2.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.12%E -0.720%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 19:15
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -2.45%E -0.835%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 19:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.11%E -2.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 19:15
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 19:09
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:15
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 16:40
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:14
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.78%E -2.62%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 16:44
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 19:14
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 19:15
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 16:39
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 16:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.78%E -2.62%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.78%E -2.62%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 19:15
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.78%E -2.62%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 17:45
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.78%E -4.10%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 16:50
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -1.77%E -1.21%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -6.10%E -2.16%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 08:14
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.11%E -2.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 19:23
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 14:45
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 19:15
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 19:14
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 19:15
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 18:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 08:14
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:18
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.44%E -1.67%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -8.09%E -2.92%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 19:13
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 16:39
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 16:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 16:49
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 19:15
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 16:38
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 16:39
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.11%E -2.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -12.08%E -4.56%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 10:26
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -13.74%E -5.28%K -8.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 19:23
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-16 19:00
Matchbook◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-16 19:05
ProphetX◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-16 19:15
Novig◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.06%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.94%2.0%2026-08-16 19:05
Smarkets◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%2.7%2026-08-16 19:00