Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Andrey Rublev v Pablo Carreno Busta

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 19:24 UTC

Score final : Andrey Rublev 2–0 Pablo Carreno Busta

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Prévision 66.82%1.50cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -3.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.63%66.82%66.67%68.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.361.421.421.4773.53%70.53%70.42%68.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pablo Carreno Busta (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.18%3.01cote équitable
EV +0.200%
Avantage +0.066%
Kelly +0.099%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.48%33.18%33.33%35.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.852.853.0238.46%35.04%35.09%33.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Andrey Rublev (Local) : 66.82% ; Pablo Carreno Busta (Visiteur) : 33.18%. Pour Pablo Carreno Busta (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.01. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.02, soit une espérance positive de +0.200%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV +0.200%E +0.066%K +0.099%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 19:14
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.79%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.21%EV -0.132%E -0.044%K -0.066%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.464%E -0.155%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.464%E -0.155%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 19:00
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.464%E -0.155%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 18:59
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.79%E -5.64%K -20.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.464%E -0.155%K -0.232%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 18:19
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.34%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.48%EV -1.79%E -0.605%K -0.914%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 19:15
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.11%E -2.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.12%E -0.720%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 19:15
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -2.45%E -0.835%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 19:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.11%E -2.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 19:15
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 19:09
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:15
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 16:40
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:14
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.78%E -2.62%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 16:44
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 19:14
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 19:15
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 16:39
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 16:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.78%E -2.62%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.78%E -2.62%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 19:15
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.78%E -2.62%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 17:45
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.78%E -4.10%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 16:50
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -1.77%E -1.21%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -6.10%E -2.16%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 08:14
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.11%E -2.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 19:23
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 14:45
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 19:15
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 19:14
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 19:15
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 18:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 08:14
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:18
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.44%E -1.67%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -8.09%E -2.92%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 19:13
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 16:39
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 16:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 16:49
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 19:15
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 16:38
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 16:39
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.11%E -2.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -12.08%E -4.56%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 10:26
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -13.74%E -5.28%K -8.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 19:23
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-16 19:00
Matchbook◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-16 19:05
ProphetX◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-16 19:15
Novig◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.06%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.94%2.0%2026-08-16 19:05
Smarkets◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%2.7%2026-08-16 19:00