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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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Andrey Rublev v Pablo Carreno Busta

Inizio: 2026-08-16 19:24 UTC

Finale: Andrey Rublev 2–0 Pablo Carreno Busta

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Andrey Rublev (Casa)

Previsione 66.82%1.50quota equa
EV -1.77%
Vantaggio -1.21%
Kelly -3.77%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.47

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.63%66.82%66.67%68.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.421.421.4773.53%70.53%70.42%68.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pablo Carreno Busta (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.18%3.01quota equa
EV +0.200%
Vantaggio +0.066%
Kelly +0.099%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.48%33.18%33.33%35.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.852.853.0238.46%35.04%35.09%33.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Andrey Rublev (Casa): 66.82%; Pablo Carreno Busta (Trasferta): 33.18%. Per Pablo Carreno Busta (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.01. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.02, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.200%.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV +0.200%E +0.066%K +0.099%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 19:14
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.79%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.21%EV -0.132%E -0.044%K -0.066%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.464%E -0.155%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.464%E -0.155%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 19:00
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.464%E -0.155%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 18:59
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.79%E -5.64%K -20.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.464%E -0.155%K -0.232%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 18:19
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.34%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.48%EV -1.79%E -0.605%K -0.914%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 19:15
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.11%E -2.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.12%E -0.720%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 19:15
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -2.45%E -0.835%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 19:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.11%E -2.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 19:15
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 19:09
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:15
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 16:40
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:14
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.78%E -2.62%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 16:44
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 19:14
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 19:15
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 16:39
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 16:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.78%E -2.62%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.78%E -2.62%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 19:15
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.78%E -2.62%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 17:45
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.78%E -4.10%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 16:50
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -1.77%E -1.21%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -6.10%E -2.16%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 08:14
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.11%E -2.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 19:23
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 14:45
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 19:15
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 19:14
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 19:15
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 18:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 08:14
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:18
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.44%E -1.67%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -8.09%E -2.92%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 19:13
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 16:39
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 16:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 16:49
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 19:15
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 16:38
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 16:39
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.11%E -2.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -12.08%E -4.56%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 10:26
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -13.74%E -5.28%K -8.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 19:23
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-16 19:00
Matchbook◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-16 19:05
ProphetX◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-16 19:15
Novig◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.06%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.94%2.0%2026-08-16 19:05
Smarkets◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%2.7%2026-08-16 19:00