Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Andrey Rublev v Pablo Carreno Busta

2026-08-16 15:00 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Predicción 65.25%1.53momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -1.87%
Kelly -5.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.36%65.32%65.24%66.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.441.441.4971.43%69.39%69.44%67.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pablo Carreno Busta (Visitante)

Predicción 34.75%2.88momio equitativo
EV +0.440%
Ventaja +0.152%
Kelly +0.233%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.26%34.68%34.76%35.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.752.752.8939.22%36.32%36.36%34.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Andrey Rublev (Local): 65.25%; Pablo Carreno Busta (Visitante): 34.75%. Para Pablo Carreno Busta (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.88. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.89, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.440%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV +0.440%E +0.152%K +0.233%G +0.001%4.0%2026-08-15 11:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV +0.440%E +0.152%K +0.233%G +0.001%4.0%2026-08-15 11:40
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -3.44%E -2.32%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -0.602%E -0.211%K -0.324%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-15 09:49
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.09%E -2.78%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -0.950%E -0.333%K -0.514%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 09:35
BetAnything🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.950%E -0.333%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 12:44
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.70%E -4.68%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.950%E -0.333%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.70%E -4.68%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.950%E -0.333%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:45
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.70%E -4.68%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.950%E -0.333%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.70%E -4.68%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.950%E -0.333%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:44
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.70%E -4.68%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.950%E -0.333%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.70%E -4.68%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.950%E -0.333%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:44
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.70%E -4.68%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.950%E -0.333%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:45
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.70%E -4.68%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.950%E -0.333%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.70%E -4.68%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.950%E -0.333%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:44
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.70%E -4.68%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.950%E -0.333%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.70%E -4.68%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.950%E -0.333%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.70%E -4.68%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.950%E -0.333%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.70%E -4.68%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.950%E -0.333%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:45
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.70%E -4.68%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.950%E -0.333%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.70%E -4.68%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.950%E -0.333%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:44
Coolbet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.78%E -1.87%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.69%E -0.960%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-15 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.44%E -2.32%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.69%E -0.960%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 13:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -3.38%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:48
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.09%E -2.78%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 13:24
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.09%E -2.78%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 09:24
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.74%E -3.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 09:49
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.74%E -3.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 09:49
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.39%E -3.72%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 06:45
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:20
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:24
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:19
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.66%E -6.18%K -21.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 09:44
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00%EV -4.09%E -2.78%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -5.12%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 06:40
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.09%E -2.78%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 06:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.39%E -3.72%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 12:04
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.39%E -3.72%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 14:04
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 09:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 09:24
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 09:24
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.35%E -5.18%K -17.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 14:03
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.66%E -6.18%K -21.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 09:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.74%E -3.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 09:24
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.74%E -3.25%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 09:24
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.39%E -3.72%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 10:26
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 09:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 11:24
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.70%E -4.68%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 09:49
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.35%E -5.18%K -17.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 09:50
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 09:49
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 09:44
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.05%E -4.20%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 09:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -6.70%E -4.68%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 09:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.35%E -5.18%K -17.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 12:29
ReBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -8.00%E -5.68%K -19.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -11.38%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 09:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-15 14:05
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-15 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-15 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-15 14:05
ProphetX1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.1%2026-08-15 14:25
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%5.9%2026-08-15 12:15

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