Idioma:Español
Andrey Rublev v Pablo Carreno Busta
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Andrey Rublev (Local)
Predicción 66.82%1.50momio equitativo
EV -1.77%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -3.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.63%66.82%66.67%68.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.361.421.421.4773.53%70.53%70.42%68.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Pablo Carreno Busta (Visitante)
Predicción 33.18%3.01momio equitativo
EV +0.200%
Ventaja +0.066%
Kelly +0.099%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.48%33.18%33.33%35.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.852.853.0238.46%35.04%35.09%33.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Andrey Rublev (Local): 66.82%; Pablo Carreno Busta (Visitante): 33.18%. Para Pablo Carreno Busta (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.01. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.02, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.200%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV +0.200%E +0.066%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.79%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.21%EV -0.132%E -0.044%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.464%E -0.155%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.464%E -0.155%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.464%E -0.155%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 18:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.79%E -5.64%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.464%E -0.155%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.48%EV -1.79%E -0.605%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.11%E -2.14%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.12%E -0.720%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -2.45%E -0.835%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.11%E -2.14%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 18:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 18:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.78%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 18:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.78%E -2.62%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.12%E -6.71%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.78%E -2.62%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.78%E -2.62%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.78%E -2.62%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.78%E -4.10%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.44%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -1.77%E -1.21%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -6.10%E -2.16%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 08:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.11%E -2.14%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 19:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 19:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 08:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 18:18 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.44%E -1.67%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -8.09%E -2.92%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 19:13 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 16:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.76%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.11%E -2.14%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -12.08%E -4.56%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 10:26 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -13.74%E -5.28%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 19:23 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 19:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.06% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.94% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92% | 2.7% | 2026-08-16 19:00 |